### Summer Seasonality in Crypto: A Tactical Approach
Summer has shown consistent patterns in the crypto market, making it a strategic time for investors to adjust their positions.
#### Historical Summer Patterns:
- **2017:** Alts got crushed vs BTC.
- **2019:** $13k top followed by a correction.
- **2020:** DeFi summer emerged as a response to a risk-off environment.
- **2021:** Bearish chop until a pivotal tweet in July.
- **2022:** Significant downturn.
- **2023:** Sideways movement around $28k.
### Strategy:
- **Summer Retreat:**
- **Positions:** Shift to BTC/ETH/stables.
- **Expectations:** Lower expectations from alts.
- **4-Year Cycle Framework:**
- **2018 = 2022:** Major downturns.
- **2019 = 2023:** Echo bubble, signs of recovery.
- **2020 = 2024:** Constructive & bullish phase.
- **2021 = 2025:** Market peaks, ideal time to sell.
### Best Summer Activities:
1. **Find the Next Big Thing:**
- Look for opportunities like PEPE or YFI.
2. **Enjoy Real-Life Experiences:**
- Focus on engaging in cool IRL activities.
This simple yet effective mental framework has proven reliable over time.
