This phenomenon in the market is indeed puzzling.
From several perspectives, I can give you an analysis of why these important milestones and announcements have not had a significant impact on market prices.
1. Markets often reflect the impact of anticipated events in advance. If investors had anticipated these moves by Optimism and Apple, the price might have already included this information.
When the actual event occurs, the market reaction is muted because there is no new information to drive price changes. This phenomenon is called "buying expectations and selling facts."
2. Market sentiment has an important impact on prices. Even with positive news, prices may not rise if overall market sentiment is low and investor demand for risky assets is insufficient. The lukewarm response from retail investors and market makers shows that the current market lacks strong buying incentives.
3. The macroeconomic environment has a significant impact on the market.
For example, high inflation, rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, etc. may dampen investor sentiment and cause them to react coldly to good news.
4. Although Optimism has reached an important milestone, the market may believe that its impact is limited or that it does not substantially improve short-term prices.
Similarly, although Apple's cooperation with ChatGPT is innovative, investors may be on the sidelines on its profitability or market share changes in the short term.
5. Funds may flow to other more attractive assets or markets.
For example, funds may flow out of the stock and crypto markets if investors believe that other assets (e.g., bonds, commodities) currently offer higher returns.
6. Technical analysis may also explain these phenomena. With prices bouncing between some key support and resistance levels, technical traders may be waiting for clearer trend signals.
Personal summary
The market's lack of reaction does not necessarily mean that investors are not optimistic about these events. It more often reflects the comprehensive impact of multiple factors such as market expectations, overall sentiment, macroeconomic environment, and capital flows.
It may take more specific financial performance or macroeconomic improvements to significantly change price trends in the future.
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