#bnb历史新高 #5月非农数据即将公布 #山寨季何时到来？
1. Chasing the rise and selling the fall. Chasing the rise and selling the fall is very anti-human. From a psychological point of view, people want to take profits quickly when they make a profit, but they are very resistant when they lose money. This often leads to great tragedies. When they make a little profit, they want to run away to stop profit, but when they lose money, they can resist the order. The more they resist, the more they get excited. When they get excited, they will take out loans or keep charging margin until the position is liquidated.
2. Futures (contracts) are not about blindly chasing ups and downs. The core is to follow the market trend. When the market trend continues to go against your expectations, it is wise to stop loss in time. Futures (contracts) trading is not too focused on the absolute price of opening a position, but more focused on judging the continuity of the trend. From a long-term time dimension, the real trend time may only account for 5% of the total trading time.
Take Bitcoin as an example. It took nearly a year for its price to rise from 3,500 to 10,000, but it took only four months to leap from 10,000 to 20,000. The subsequent rapid rise highlights the short-lived but critical nature of trends. Therefore, in futures (contract) investment, we need to capture these trends quickly and accurately, and follow the trend to achieve steady profits.
3. In fact, the people who made the most money from this wave of the main uptrend were not those who bought at the bottom of 4,000, but those who rolled over from 12,000 to the last 40,000, especially the last few days, which was the most profitable. Small money players need to be more greedy when they are greedy, and you can make a fortune by rolling over to the end. Because you have leverage, you cannot be a friend of time, you are the enemy of time. The higher it rises, the more you dare to chase it. When others are afraid of the rise, you have to increase your position.
4. In this case, you can earn the same amount of money as others who have to wait for Bitcoin to increase by 100% with only 5%. This is a rather general statement, but the general idea is: if you lose your friend, time, you have to use leverage to beat others and keep increasing your position with floating profits.
5. Spot is different. You can only buy the bottom if the price drops below its value. The more it drops, the more you buy the bottom. In fact, both are gambling, but the gambling methods are different. Spot is to exchange time for space, while futures (contracts) are the opposite, exchanging space for time. It doesn't matter whether you are accurate in the long term or not, because leverage does not allow you to see so far. You can only take one step at a time and follow the continuation of the trend in the short and medium term. The people who make the most money in the futures (contract) market are not those who can see accurately, but those who dare to gamble. What's the use of being accurate? Do you dare to gamble heavily?
6. Many people like to care about their good-looking rates of return, but what’s the use of that position? If you can’t make big money, leverage and rate of return are not important. The total position is the basis of your making money.
7. For someone who wants to enter the futures (contract) market and become rich overnight, what is the most important thing? Technical analysis? Fundamental analysis? Insider information from the dealer? None of them, it is luck, because no one can beat the market, not even the "dealer" in the mouth of the leeks or the "main force" in our understanding. In front of the sea of the market, whether it is the dealer or the leeks, we are just a small boat in the stormy waves of the market, and all we can do is just go with the flow.
These views are aimed at the futures (contract) market. You can play with spot transactions, but don't touch any leverage, because as soon as you touch the leverage, there is a possibility of a liquidation and zero loss. Most people's big losses start with a small order. They cannot overcome human nature and cannot stop loss, and thus lose everything, because trading is so anti-human!
If you still don’t understand after I’ve said so much, it means you are really not suitable for playing contracts.
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