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两个人卖烧饼,每人一天卖20个(因为整个烧饼需求量只有40个),一元价一个,每天产值40元。后来两人商量,相互交换100个(A向B购买100个,B向A购买100个),用记账形式,价格不变,交易量每天就变成240元。一一虚拟经济产生 如果相互交换的烧饼价为5元,则交易量每天1040元,这时候,A和B将市场烧饼上涨到2元,有些人听说烧饼在卖5元钱1个,看到市场烧饼只有2元时,赶快购买。一一泡沫经济产生 烧饼一下子做不出来,就购买远期饼。A和B一方面增加做烧饼(每天达100个或更多),另一方面卖远期烧饼,还做起了发行烧饼债券的交易,购买者一是用现金购买,还用抵押贷款购买。一一融资,金融介入 有些人想购买,既没有现金,又没有抵押品,A和B就发放次级烧饼债券。并向保险机构购买了保险。 -一次级债券为次贷危机播下种子 某一天,发现购买来的烧饼吃也吃不掉,存放既要地方,又要发霉,就赶快抛售掉,哪怕价格低一些。-一泡沫破裂 金融危机就这样爆发了。烧饼店裁员了(只要每天40个烧饼就可以了)--一失业;烧饼债券变废纸了。-一次贷危机 抵押贷款(抵押品不值钱)收不回,贷款银行流动性危机,保险公司面临破产等。
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