Many people in the cryptocurrency circle don't know how to do business, they just come to win the lottery! (From Coinsradar.net)
My fellow brother said that he loves freedom, so he likes to play with local dogs. What's the logic? Because of playing with local dogs, you can play by yourself and not be responsible for anyone. By the way, you can not get up in the morning because of playing with local dogs. Which unit can allow this? Blockchain companies don't have surplus food, so you can only be a freelancer.
He said that he is different from some middle-aged people. Middle-aged people only see making money and have no hobbies. The post-00s children grew up shouting golden keys, have never experienced scarcity, have not been beaten by society, have money to spend at home when they were young, and have a net worth of A8 in the cryptocurrency circle when they grow up. They don't know fear of the future.
Middle-aged people are different. They have heavy responsibilities. Their hard-working bodies are overdrawn, their minds are dulled, and even some parts of their bodies will have problems without the nourishment of wealth. There are not many fantasies left for middle-aged people to go ashore.
Therefore, we mainly focus on how to make money legally and wisely, and how to copy the model for others to make money together. Therefore, middle-aged people in the cryptocurrency circle are not looking for a target, but a business.
The target is like a precisely calculated lottery ticket, 70% is determined by fate. Business is like a systematically planned lottery station, 70% depends on hard work. The former may become rich overnight, or it may return to zero in a year, while the latter can slowly reap rewards as long as you work hard.
If you are in the cryptocurrency circle and cannot establish a business pipeline, there is no direct connection between effort and results. The harder you work, the faster you die. When it comes to lottery tickets, luck and talent determine most of it.
So what is a good business? I think it should meet four criteria:
1) The income outperforms the market
2) The income is certain and can be speculated
3) There is a continuous cash flow in the short and medium term
4) Don’t have an explosion, and don’t have a big explosion
1. Good business, the income outperforms the market
The standard of the market is the average rate of return of the big cake. If the big cake has an absolute rate of return of 8 times from the lowest point to the highest point in a bull market, then if you remove the bottom and the top, the average rate of return should be 4 times.
That is, in the entire bull market, the rate of return of the selected business should be higher than 4 times. It seems that in this bull market, all those who do quantitative trading, most of those who do swing trading, those who are engaged in blockchain-related activities, those who hoard some junk coins, those who dig some junk mines, and those who invest in new hot projects everywhere, might as well stop messing around and just hoard big coins.
2. The return is certain and predictable
The return can be predicted, which means that you can roughly predict when the investment will be paid back and how many times you will earn in half a year based on the estimate. This will not only tell you the winning rate, but also how much you will earn.
What is unpredictable? For example, if you buy a copycat coin, according to your estimate, you will earn about 5 times, but you can't tell the time clearly. At most, you can say that it will be about 5 times when the bull peaks. So when will it be the bull peak? How many times will it increase in 3 months? Even if you have worked hard and done all the research, you can't be sure, or you can't come up with a convincing model.
Because the increase of a target is chaotic, it may be affected by the entire currency circle, the entire economic environment, the rotation of the track sector where the project is located, the project's benefits, when the project party will start cheating, and the influence of the dealer's operation.
With so many uncertain factors, the return becomes a black box. Maybe the final general goal is as you wish, and you really "calculated" it correctly, but you can't convince people in advance.
Because what you are telling others is not a business, but a lottery ticket. The variables of a business are mainly in the life cycle, and the lottery ticket depends on probability. From this point of view, buying local dogs, hoarding big cakes, copycats, long-term mutual emptying, pledging and making money, and investing in first-level Simu are probably not good businesses. All of the above are counted as one. Who can explain to me the model of reverse profit? Then you will also say that even if the business you mentioned can predict the profit, the daily profit will change in the process of the bull market, and the certainty of the winning rate will also change. This is the next standard.
3. There is a continuous cash flow in the short and medium term
Since the profit can be predicted, it is a choice of delayed enjoyment and certainty. But ten thousand years is too long, the promise will change, and the certainty will become uncertain. What's more, human nature is naturally against delayed enjoyment, so we pursue local dogs so much.
If a business can have a large amount of income in the account every day and every week, then even if the profit certainty becomes lower after a month or a period of time, there is already money in hand, and even the principal can be returned in two or three months, which can be said to be sitting on the Diaoyutai.
And the continuous cash flow, instead of the last Hu given to you, in this process, there are many more investment options, you can reinvest, you can invest in better businesses, or you can cash out in advance to improve your life.Moreover, in the current environment, many people force themselves to turn their attention from the market to life, waiting for the adjustment to end. Some people are anxious in the market's decline, especially those who are fully invested at high positions, watching the cheap chips have nothing to do with themselves.
But with this pipeline income, I seem to be a little blunt to the market. Of course, as a KOL, it is wrong to be numb to the market. I will return to observing the market after completing the current important work. I just want to express that I have a good mentality with pipeline income. Even now, my mentality is so good that I hope that my pipeline income will not be discovered, so it is best not to explode in this track.
4. Don't not explode, and don't explode
There are many tracks in the blockchain, and many people hope that the track they are heavily invested in can wait until the moment of rotation explosion, and I am no exception. But I am afraid of an explosion in the short term, and I am even more afraid of a big explosion. When the attention of the entire market comes, it means that the buyer is here, but it also means that this track is about to be over, especially in this round of bull market.
As a pipeline business that does not rely on hoarding coins to get rich overnight, we naturally hope that the pipeline income is long-lasting. We expect the heat to come, but not too hot, because the heat will die.
For a good business, especially in the currency circle, it is best not to have a big explosion, a hot explosion, just a mild explosion, so that outsiders have a threshold to participate, and insiders are not so eager to participate. Such a mild explosion is likely to resonate with Bitcoin until the end of the bull market.
The above four points are my choices as a "boring middle-aged person", so I now have 35% of my positions in the pipeline business, and I will further adjust my positions to about 60% in the next three months. If you are like me in the currency circle, you should put pragmatism first and interest second, then you can also use this to check whether your heavy positions are in line with it.
