🔥How long do you think the bull market in the cryptocurrency market will last? Let me show you the future trend in one minute:
Looking back at the previous bull markets, almost all of them started three months after the Bitcoin halving.
Halving in July 2016, started in October, and ended in December 2017
Halving in May 2020, started in August, and ended in December 21
So, this round of predictions...
Halving in April 2024, started in June, and ended in October 2025. Why is it not three months later? And it started in advance? The reasons are as follows:
BlackRock will officially announce the ETF in April-May next year (big news, the last round of Grayscale Fund started the bull market through Bitcoin ETF), plus the triple benefits of interest rate cuts and halving, it is very likely that the bull market will start a month in advance;
Secondly, we see that this year's rebound started two or three months earlier than the previous round, so from the news and technical level, it is very likely that the bull market will start a little earlier, but it will not have much impact on our trend layout. We who are bottom-fishing have already laid out early, be a value investor!
Some people say that you are just trying to find a sword by carving a boat? Is it useful?
Let me tell you a book written by Carmen Reinhart, a famous American economist - "This time is different? 800 years of financial crisis history"
People are always overly optimistic about bubbles and risks, and always wishful thinking that [this time is different]
In fact, time is changing but human nature is eternal. Technology is advancing, lifestyles are changing, but people's greed and fear have never changed!
So don't ask if it's the same or not. When the wind blows, a large number of mobs will flock in... I hope you can keep independent thinking and be a smart investor!
How to buy at the bottom and sell at the top?
The famous economic principle [Don't make the last penny] tells us "never think about making the last penny", that is, don't think about eating from beginning to end, don't be too greedy. For example, if you know that it will be unlocked in December, then according to logic, the dealer will release good news to pull the market before unlocking to facilitate shipments, so you should run a week in advance. It should be more accurate to run two weeks in advance, because everyone wants to run one week in advance before unlocking, and as a smart investor, you should run ahead of the market, and the market is always
[80/20 rule]
So, if it ends in October 25, then you should start preparing to reduce your position in July or August...
The above predictions are not entirely in line with this route, but as a person with high cognition, you should know that the market is out, and no one can predict the specific price and trend. We predict only for strategy, for planning, and for preparing for big bulls. After all, opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared!
Remember "vague correctness is more important than precise mistakes"
I hope that people with the same frequency can understand it, and I hope that everyone can cultivate the ability to think independently!
💥If you can't recognize the disk, then no matter how good the opportunity is, it will have nothing to do with you. Move your little fingers to make money, like and follow, share the reasons for the rise and fall every day, and the wealth code will be at your home!