The recent trend makes everyone feel helpless. First, the Federal Reserve changed its face and made a statement, and then the international war caused the global financial market to crash. This series of operations are all major external factors that have a major impact on the market. The impact of these breakthroughs is difficult to predict. Remember that this is not our market alone. It is the global cryptocurrency investors who are trapped in the short term. In the short term, the market is not only lacking in the money-making effect, but also the global investors are waiting for the rise after the bottom is built. Many people are anxious and eager to recover because of the floating losses in their accounts. This mood is understandable, but if you learn to think, summarize the problems in the review, will there be any opportunities for the bull market in the future? Now, take your eyes off those floating loss figures, review objectively and rationally, and think about the next trend, which may free you from these short-term troubles.

【Why did it fall? 】

The reason for the decline is very simple. It is nothing more than the Fed's repeated changes in rhetoric, from certainty of rate cuts to uncertainty to extensions. This is definitely bad news for the financial market in the short term. The dispute is the second. When this happened suddenly, the first thought of many local people must be to withdraw their money and run away. After these people took it out, it would definitely bring fluctuations to the financial market. But at this time, if the dispute continues, it will not be bad news, but good news. Many people need to enter the market to avoid funds to prevent the financial risks caused by the war in their own regions.

[Why did the Shanzhai stock price drop so much? 】

In the first stage of the bull market, more people choose to speculate and hype up copycats such as Tugou in order to get rich overnight, forgetting the inherent value investment in this market. When the copycat market bubble reaches a certain level, the balloon will eventually burst, and the main force will take the opportunity to clean up the market and force the early profit-taking, locked-in and panic-selling to get off the bus, so that you can cut your losses and hand over your bloody chips. Why didn't the big pie fall so much? This is caused by the concentration of market funds. ETFs and others enter the crypto market through retail investors and institutions, and their investment target is the big pie. In the short term, they have a net inflow and no selling pressure, so the big pie will consolidate in a reasonable range.

【Is the bull season over? 】

The halving every four years has created a resonance among crypto market participants: halving = bull market. Halving has also become a catalyst for the bull market. With the expectation of interest rate cuts this year and the approval of ETFs, Bitcoin has gone from a string of unfavorable values ​​to a globally popular investment target. Institutions such as BlackRock have made large purchases, with their costs ranging from 50,000 to 60,000 to 70,000. Aren’t they afraid of being trapped? Why are they buying like crazy every day? It is because of their optimism about the future market and Bitcoin’s breakthrough of its historical high last month. Is it just to help people who were trapped two years ago? Definitely not. The entire market has a good expectation for the future market and expects Bitcoin to go higher and further, so the bull market is not over.

【About market noise? 】

What you need to do now is to complete the layout at a low point, and then wait for the second stage of the bull market to start and reap your fruits. There is no need to ask around and listen everywhere, as those will only disrupt your operating strategy. Everyone looks at the trend at a different level, and there must be short-term differences of opinion. You only need to consider whether the bull market is still there. If it is, you will make money. If it is not, it is useless to ask anyone. In the trend market, spot is king. If you don't cut, your coins will be there. Hundreds of millions or billions of plates cannot return to zero because of your position.

What to do next?

The bitcoin contract rate has turned negative. This shows that the market has fallen in the short term, and the previous high-multiple contract leverage has been liquidated and exited. In addition, the altcoin has fallen by 50% and has returned to the price a few months ago. The bubble of the altcoin sector has been squeezed. In the bull market trend, there is such a thorough wash, which is very beneficial to its future rise. In the past, everyone said that the altcoin follows the decline but not the rise. We can see from the recent two declines that bitcoin rebounded by 3-5% from the oversold price, but the altcoin rebounded by 20-30%. The altcoin sector is obviously stronger than bitcoin, and there is no room for the altcoin sector to fall. Most currencies have returned to the bottom of the price a few months ago, and there is room for speculation in the future market again. Therefore, the overall market, the bull market has not ended yet, and the long-term trend is bullish and unchanged. The floating losses of spot goods in hand are all short-term. The current position can be exchanged for space with time. Wherever it falls, it will eventually rise back. Every retracement with a position is an opportunity for you to increase your position and spread the cost. You don’t need to watch the market to complete the medium and long-term currency position increase.

【Short-term market analysis】

The bulls' rebound in the early trading session was weak, and the pressure of 64700 was not broken. There will be a retracement here. Pay attention to the support near the early trading low of 62200. Once it breaks, the big cake will go to the second bottom. Pay attention to the area of ​​60000-61000 below. If there is a break of 60000 and a spike to 59000, there is no need to panic. Add positions boldly in the spot. Even if the big cake breaks the low and catches the bottom, the cottage sector has limited room for decline from the last low. For all the currencies in your hands, just pay attention to adding positions in batches near the low point of the day before yesterday. If you dare to go down, Be brave to add positions. After completing the addition, you can directly lock the positions in the medium and long term and wait for the target position to be reached in a few months. Short-term operators will mainly focus on swing trading recently. After the big cake completes the bottoming out here and stands firmly above 66,500 again, the short-term consolidation will end. The moment it stands back to 68,500, this bull will not look back. Those who are trapped in the short term should be more patient. You are making long-term investments, not leaving the market after playing for two days. When the second stage of the bull market starts, you can look back and see how unworthy your restless heart is at the moment. $BTC #比特币减半