Over the past weekend and for some time to come, the conflict between Iran and Israel will undoubtedly affect the trend of global financial markets. This conflict began with Iran's retaliatory action against Israel in the early hours of Saturday morning. Bitcoin immediately plunged, falling by more than $6,000 to a low of $60,359. It has now rebounded to above $65,000.

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The short-term adjustment of the crypto market will end. Every time on the road to the bull market is the best opportunity to intervene. The big bull market or explosive market will occur in Q3-Q4, so everyone should have confidence, stay away from contracts, stay away from leverage, as long as you hold the spot, you will not die in the bull market.

Despite the weekend's market crash, ONDO in the RWA track rebounded quite strongly, indicating that funds continue to pay attention to this track. In addition to RWA, the AI ​​track is also a good choice. This has been the main narrative for a while.

I have said that Bitcoin will be played differently from the past after the ETF is passed this year. Institutions have their own way of playing, and it is too difficult for retail investors to participate in Bitcoin. So if you can’t afford Bitcoin, then buy into the Bitcoin ecosystem. This is a basic logic.

In addition, due to the participation of institutions, the ability to take over Bitcoin during its decline has become stronger. Every time it declines, there will be a large number of structural buyers, because for institutions, these are cheap chips now.

At the current daily level, the strong support near 60,000 is being verified. If this wave can hold up, then after the halving, it will continue to fluctuate and adjust to accumulate strength, preparing for a surge in the third and fourth quarters.

If there is no effective support near 60,000 this time, then the most likely possibility is to test the support near 55,000 again. I think this is the limit adjustment, so everyone has expectations for the next step, one is the 60,000 US dollar mark, and the other is the limit support near 55,000. No matter what happens, you must remember that every decline is the best opportunity. The surge will happen in Q3Q4, and the rest you just hold the spot and leave it to time.

Knowing that the currency will rise, why don’t you hold on to it?

In the cryptocurrency world, we often hear people say, "I knew this coin would go up, but XXXXX." This situation is not uncommon, and many people have had similar experiences. So, why can't we hold on to a coin when we know it has potential? To put it bluntly, it's a mentality problem.

How can we overcome this mentality and truly “hold on to it”?

First, we must have a clear plan and goal for our investment. Before we start buying spot goods, we must make it clear whether our capital turnover is sufficient and whether we can psychologically accept a pullback. In this way, when faced with price fluctuations, we can make decisions more calmly.

Second, we must learn to control our emotions. Greed and fear are weaknesses in human nature, but we can overcome them through continuous learning and practice. For example, we can set a reasonable stop-profit and stop-loss point, and when the price reaches this point, we will resolutely sell or buy, and not be swayed by emotions.

Third, we must maintain enough patience and confidence. Cryptocurrency trading is a long process, and we should not expect to get rich overnight. As long as we choose a potential project and continue to pay attention to and study market dynamics, we will believe in time and ourselves.

Knowing that the currency will rise but not being able to hold it is mainly a psychological challenge. Only by overcoming these psychological barriers can we truly "hold on" and make money. I hope that in this extreme market, you can keep your original intention and wait for the wind to come.

You can see several data:

The peak in 2017 was around 300b, and the bottom in 2018 was around 30b;

The peak in 2021 is around 1000b, and the bottom in 2022 is around 300b;

The current price is around 680b, and it started to fall when it hit around 800b (the shoulder of the previous round). From these data, we can also deduce some interesting data:

From the bottom in 2018 to the peak in 2021, the total market value of cottage industry increased 30 times;

From the top in 2017 to the peak in 2021, there were two bull peaks, and the total market value of cottage industries increased by more than 3 times;

The bottom in 22 years has probably reached the peak of the previous bull market with a market value of around 300b.

So, where is the market going?

Has the bull gone over it?

I think the probability is low. The total market value of copycat stocks has not even reached the peak of the last bull market, even though so many targets have been added.

Most likely, it’s a top junior high school.

Is there still a season for copycat explosion?

The total market value of copycats has only doubled compared to the bottom of the bear market. I think it is unlikely that this kind of growth will end.

Assuming that the total market value of this bull market is 2-3 times that of the previous round, there should be 3 to 5 times of room to increase to between 2t and 3t.

There is a high probability that the main uptrend of the copycat has not yet come, so don’t be anxious.

Will the cryptocurrency circle become a copycat of A-shares?

People have opinions about the recent large number of BN tokens and high market value. They think that the copycats will not rise because of the blood sucking. I think it is better to look at the total market value. No matter how many new tokens there are, they will eventually be reflected in the total market value.

The total market value is still lying flat, and it is unlikely that the bull market will end here.

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ONDO successfully broke through 1 knife, giving you an accurate bottom-picking point, including position control arrangements. The current profit is 33%. If you take out 20% of the profit, the remaining position will be doubled with the principal. This way, you can hold on to it. Even if the market crashes again in the future, you won't feel bad!

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