Most altcoins have been running for a while and are in the stage of re-accumulation. The current market is mainly divided into several emotions:
1-For those who bought at the bottom last year, now it is at least x3 x4, even vibration will not help now.
2-For those who have been following fomo recently, the price is fluctuating every day, and my mood is also fluctuating, and my personality is also changing. I was very sad in the morning, and laughed like crazy in the afternoon holding my phone.
3-Those who still have money are hesitating whether to buy more or optimize. At present, I see that in addition to $BTC, there is also a halving, and most altcoins are looking for price stability points. So should you buy or sell?
Situation 1: Lying quietly and waiting to enjoy;
Case 2: Focus on research, learning, look at charts less, find reasons to keep the coins you buy now, re-project the coins you hold to see if they are valid. They are worth it. Whether there is still potential (10 steps to re-learn research).
If you hold too many coins, you should find a way to reorganize it to make it more compact and easier to track. See if you can deduct your outside income to buy more if the price is cheap. If not, try to make a small profit, stabilize your mentality, and have a calmer mentality. If the price drops, you will have money to buy at the bottom.
Case three: If you have carefully studied the above factors and still have funds, continue to observe and adjust the rhythm, buy more, gradually reduce your position, let the situation improve, and buy and accumulate evenly in a fixed investment style.
How to choose coins during the bull market?
Performance can be assessed by the percentage increase in price of Bitcoin versus another token.
- If Bitcoin has nearly tripled from its low point, while a certain currency has increased by less than 3 times
The coin may be in a trending mismatch, lacks a narrative, lacks market makers, and developers may have moved on to other projects
Lower profit potential
It may be best to avoid investing in such coins (although they may rise in the future, it is still better to go through the entire bull market without profitable performance and choose coins with trends and narratives).
Projects that have surpassed Bitcoin’s profitability
- Modular + Staking Mining: $TIA has increased 10 times from a market value of about 300M
- Artificial Intelligence: $FET, $RDNR, $AGIX, $WLD all grew more than 10 times
- First-level chain: $APT, $SUI both fluctuate between 4 and 6 times
- LSD/LRT: $SSV, $PENDLE have risen more than 10 times from the bottom
- RWA: $ONDO, $OM rose 10 times (RWA+staking mining news), $LTO and other projects $CPOOL, $CFG rose sharply from the bottom
- POW + Bitcoin ecosystem: $STX, $CFX, $CKB have risen by about 8 to 10 times from the bottom
- Meme: $PEPE, $FLOKI have risen about 10 times from the bottom
- Some newly listed projects still show good growth rates, such as $ALT, $PIXEL, $AI,....
As for secondary chains: they are still relatively weak. For example, $ARB has maintained its price for almost a year, and the number of token unlocks has doubled. And $OP is performing on par with Bitcoin.
So, what do the above case studies show?
- If a token has the same profit rate as Bitcoin, then it may fall more than Bitcoin when Bitcoin plummets. At this time, you can arrange to buy at the bottom and wait for the market to improve.
To avoid buying into currencies with low volatility, you need to conduct in-depth research and investigation to understand the basic situation of the project and the reactions of on-chain market makers and users + whether the market discusses these narratives, and whether these narratives have long-term value or are just temporary hot topics.
- For primary chains, secondary chains, LST, and LRT projects, attention should be paid to capital flows, TVL, and ecosystem
To make investment decisions at the right time
- Projects that fall into big trends or popular narratives, such as recently AI, restaking, or memes, will be the least volatile projects in the market but will grow the fastest when the market rebounds. Need to watch and read the news to understand what narratives the market is discussing
Then focus on following the trend early. Pay attention to those coins that are growing rapidly, because when Bitcoin experiences a rapid decline, it may quickly recover and grow strongly.
- To identify trends, you need to look beyond the horizon and observe market sentiment to get information from there. For example, the upcoming BTC halving update will benefit BRC20, BTCL2, runes, pow (this is advance information)
- Projects that transform traditional sectors to build in line with the market’s current hot narratives will grow rapidly.
- Recently listed new projects with a market value of approximately 300M. Please note that this is the current valuation level of newly listed projects on Binance.
You can choose to buy when it goes public, and remember to do sufficient research! As for those Launchpool and Launchpad projects with a market value between 100-200M, if there is no significant increase, there may still be strong increases.
Waiting for the right time to buy Bitcoin.
- On average, a strong trend will last about 40-60 days
When a token enters a trend, you can choose to set a target based on market value + trading volume and your personal tolerance.
Slow exit
Avoid getting eliminated early or missing out
Avoid regrets and chasing highs again. In addition to long-term holdings of fundamental projects and leading trends, most medium-term holdings exit at the end of the trend to switch to the narrative that the market is discussing.
