As Bitcoin's halving event approaches, market participants are monitoring the delayed impact of the decrease in mining production and increasing bullish expectations. Bitcoin miners generally choose not to sell their assets on a daily basis. Investors are increasingly turning to options strategies to avoid risk ahead of the halving.
Preparation for Bitcoin Halving
In options markets, open interest is increasing for options expiring by June 28, with call options outnumbering put options by three times. However, this outlook requires in-depth analysis and reflects the optimistic trend of the trading community.
Bitcoin Options and Market Predictions
While there are quite ambitious call options available for Bitcoin, a realistic open interest is approximately $2.72 billion. Additionally, put options have been purchased expecting Bitcoin to rise above $50,000. Bitcoin's performance could surprise the bear market with unexpected factors such as the approval of a spot exchange-traded fund in the US.
The Bitcoin network maintains hash rate stability by adjusting block difficulty, despite declines in miner participation. Even in hypothetical scenarios through June 28, the options market is pointing to neutral-to-bullish strategies, with bearish scenarios looking increasingly less likely.
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