The two parties have given a positive answer to the debt ceiling, and the adjustment of the debt ceiling will basically be completed by the end of next week. US stocks have been boosted by this and have continued to strengthen. This is mainly due to McCarthy's statement.

As the Fed officials continued to speak out, the overall logic was that if inflation was bad, interest rate hikes should not be suspended but should continue to be raised. Subsequently, the probability of raising interest rates in June rose to 40%, and now it has dropped to 40%. 35%. The trend is not as good as expected, and the tightening at the macro level may continue further.

Bitcoin has been trading sideways for a day without any fluctuations today. The market is expected to be waiting for Lao Bao's speech. Before it falls below 26,000 and breaks through 28,000, it can still be regarded as a range adjustment. As Bitcoin no longer links U.S. stocks, the power of shorts has increased, so the probability of a correction in the market outlook is slightly greater than an increase. #BTC #交易策略