âRumor Millâ Goes Into Overdrive for a Spot Bitcoin ETF Approval Tomorrow
Speculation that the SEC is set to approve a spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) on Friday has reached a fever pitch on social media.Â
A tweet from Grayscaleâs legal chief that he was âJust filling out some forms,â in addition to a widely shared tweet from a reporter has fueled speculation that approval could come through within the next day.
Several analysts still expect potential approvals to come next week, however.
In a Jan. 4 post to X (formerly Twitter), TechCrunch reporter Jacquelyn Melinek cited sources âextremely close to the matterâ to suggest multiple ETFs would be approved and is âexpecting something tomorrow.â
heard from sources extremely close to the matter that the bitcoin spot ETF is going to be approved by the SEC for *multiple* firms' applications
â Jacquelyn Melinek (@jacqmelinek) January 4, 2024
Others have taken particular interest in a cryptic tweet from Grayscaleâs chief legal officer stating he was âJust filling out some forms,â â which has garnered 1.9 million views and 6,700 likes since it was posted.
Meanwhile, the hashtag #BTCETF and the term âBitcoin ETFsâ is currently trending on Twitter and the price of Bitcoin has also been climbing since its sharp Jan. 3 drawdown, up 3.4% in the last 24 hours, per TradingView data.
BITCOIN ETF TOMORROW??
â DustyBC Crypto (@TheDustyBC) January 5, 2024
âThe rumor mill is going full steam,â trader Scott Melkor said in response to the back-and-forth speculation across social media.
Analysts splash cold water on rumors
However, Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart has described the speculation around a Jan. 5 approval as ânoiseâ and said he still expects approval will arrive between Jan. 8 and Jan. 10.
Senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas says the SEC is currently providing final comments and that issuers will soon file their final 19b-4 and S-1 forms soon afterward.
SEC is giving final comments as we speak, then issuers will submit final 19b-4s and S-1s soon after. So I mean this is def as close to "done" as we've been but no official approval as far as I know.
â Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) January 4, 2024
Both forms need to be approved by the SEC before an ETF can start trading, though an approved 19b-4 form is required for the spot Bitcoin ETF to be effectively approved.Â
Related: Spot Bitcoin ETFs could be rejected if the SEC wants âmore timeâ â Analyst
Scott Johnsson, the general partner at VB Capital, said he was âstill skepticalâ that an ETF approval would be issued before next week.
âUnless there are 19b-4 [applications] that are already all clear and the SEC doesnât care about simultaneous approval (seems a stretch?)â wrote Johnsson.
There are 14 issuers vying for a spot Bitcoin ETF, including BlackRock, Valkyrie, ARK Invest/21 Shares, Bitwise and Fidelity.
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