According to Jinshi Data, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" data showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August was 97.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut was 2.6%.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September is 6.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 90.8%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 2.4%.