The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June and August is 99.9% and 83.4% respectively.

According to Jinshi, CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.1%. At the same time, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 83.4%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 16.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.1%.