According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% in September is 91%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 5.50%-5.75% is 9%; the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in November is 56.1%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points in total is 40.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in total is 3.4%.