Tonight, Wall Street will focus on two key economic data points:
Thank you for your attention, likes, shares, and support - inviting you to participate in this red envelope activity.
ADP Employment Data and Initial Jobless Claims.
ADP Employment Data Time: 9:15 AM
- Expectations and Impact:
The market expects December ADP employment to increase by 140,000. If the actual result is below 139,000, it is considered bullish, as lower job growth may indicate a cooling labor market, which could help alleviate inflationary pressures and increase the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Conversely, if it is above 139,000, it may be seen as bearish.
Initial Jobless Claims - Time: 9:30 AM
Expectations and Impact:
The market expects initial jobless claims from last week to be above 215,000. If the actual result is above 215,000, it is considered bullish, as this indicates that the labor market may be slowing down, which would help control inflation. If it is below 215,000, it may be seen as bearish.
Market Expectations and Reactions
Currently, the market has priced in most bearish factors, so even if tonight's data exceeds expectations, there may not be a significant decline. However, if the data is favorable, the market could experience a significant rebound. This expectation reflects the market's sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy and concerns about the relationship between inflation and the labor market.
Overall, tonight's economic data will provide investors with important clues about the state of the U.S. economy and future policy direction, and the market will closely monitor the release of this data and its immediate impact on financial markets. #ADP小非农数据