I’m increasing my market exposure as I hold a bullish outlook for the first quarter following the halving event. However, I acknowledge the possibility of another corrective move before the anticipated bull rally fully accelerates.

Historically, the second week of January in the year following a halving has often shown bearish tendencies, frequently serving as a final shakeout before a sustained upward trend. If historical patterns hold, we could see significant market strength over the subsequent two months.

That said, it’s essential to prepare for multiple scenarios. A worst-case retracement could see the market testing the $80,000 to $85,000 range, which might represent the final major dip before the next leg higher. To navigate this, maintaining sufficient stablecoin reserves is crucial to capitalize on such opportunities.

This outlook is not a bearish call but rather a strategic consideration of possible market movements within an overarching bull trend. As always, diversification remains key to managing risk effectively.