Recently, BTC has led the entire market to continue to rise slightly in the past week, and everyone's confidence has slowly recovered. Both mainstream and altcoins are quietly rising. Have you seized the opportunity? I saw that many friends were waiting and missed the opportunity. Should I chase it now?
Regarding BTC, I personally predict that it will fluctuate between $99,000 and $103,000. This period is the stage for it to consolidate its foundation. If you don’t have a position now, don’t rush to chase highs, hold on, and wait for a low point before buying.
Let's talk about BNB. It is estimated that it will fluctuate between 690 and 730 US dollars. The new MEGADROP event is online. You can participate and you may get unexpected gains. If LAUNCHPOOL happens again, BNB will break through 730 US dollars in a matter of minutes!
Finally, let's talk about ETH, which is expected to fluctuate between $3,550 and $3,800, showing strong momentum. Moreover, institutional holdings are still increasing, indicating something? If you have ETH, just continue to hold it.
Let's take another look at today's BTC technical market analysis: From the candlestick chart, the 1-hour level is down, the 4-hour level is up, the 12-hour level is also rising, and the daily level is even rising. Currently, the intraday resistance is at $104,000, and the support is at $100,000.
$100,000 is a new starting point. Some may ask, with $100,000 reached, can we continue to invest?
But this question is actually incorrect!
Some people may have exited before reaching $100,000. This could be because they have reached their own goals or feel their positions are already large enough.
Some people may still be actively increasing their positions after reaching $100,000. This may be because they have enough funds to continue investing, their goals are still far away, or they feel their positions are not large enough.
For the former, $100,000 is already very expensive and quite good. For the latter, $100,000 may actually be a very cheap price, feeling that it is still far from enough. Investment decisions actually depend on your own strength, goals, and holding situation.
When Bitcoin stands at the starting point of $100,000, fractional coins (0.1BTC) stand at a new starting point of $10,000, small coins (0.01BTC) stand at a new starting point of $1,000, and micro coins (0.001BTC) stand at a new starting point of $0.10... In short, just stand at a starting point that suits you.
The Trump family has made a major purchase of Ethereum! What exactly do they see?
The Trump family has made a large purchase of Ethereum! What exactly do they see?
1. Focus on long-term potential: Although Ethereum's price is sluggish now, as the 'big brother' of cryptocurrencies, its technology and application fields are very strong. There remains a possibility of rebound in the future. The Trump family may have seen this opportunity and plans to buy at the low point, waiting for future recovery.
2. Hedging: As global economic uncertainty intensifies, cryptocurrencies as an alternative asset can effectively diversify risks from traditional markets. Purchasing Ethereum may be a way to hedge against fluctuations in the stock market and other traditional investments, enhancing the safety of one’s investments.
3. Layout in DeFi and NFT: Although DeFi (decentralized finance) and NFT (non-fungible tokens) are currently underperforming, these two fields still have great potential. Ethereum is the core platform for both fields, and the Trump family may want to preemptively position themselves while prices are low, preparing for future growth.
4. Dual consideration of politics and economy: By investing in Ethereum, the Trump family not only has the opportunity to make money but also to establish connections with key figures in the cryptocurrency industry, which may aid their future capital operations and political layout.
Overall, the Trump family's operations this time were well thought out. Although the market is sluggish now, they see the long-term value of Ethereum. For investors, such actions are worth considering, but one should always remain vigilant and aware of market risks.
Let's take a look at the situation of altcoins.
AI's current popularity has already broken away from other fields.
After experiencing waves of market trends in inscriptions, runes, AI, DEPIN, RWA, TON ecosystem, SUI ecosystem, MEME, elections, ETF sectors, NFT, platform coins, DESCI, AI AGENT, etc., the strongest narrative may have been born, which is: AI agent.
This track combines the liquidity of Meme and the value narrative of Build, and the scalability of the theme is virtually limitless.
There may be a pullback in the short term, but don't worry about Brother Sun's entry; AI + Crypto will definitely break through $10 billion, $20 billion, $50 billion, or even higher!
In the past few days, the two major camps discussed most on the Solana chain in the AI agent track are ai16z and swarms.
Currently, AI16z is firmly in the lead, and Swarms is strong, temporarily ranking second. I estimate that when Swarms' market cap reaches one-third of AI16z, it will welcome a peak.
Regarding the ecological coins of AI16z, besides ELIZA and Degenai, Focai is also worth paying attention to. Focai's market cap has rebounded from 60M to 28M after almost completing its correction; I actually bought in early... Focai is known as the first immortal on-chain AI agent ape, based on technologies like ELIZA, ElizaOS, and TEE.
Seeing many big players from Swarms starting to invest in Zailgo, I followed the trend and bought a bit. I received airdrops twice, quite happy, and feel that this development team has great potential. Regardless of the project's intentions, the retail investors still made a profit. However, the plot has turned a bit recently; sometimes it says Zailgo's developers align with AI16z, and at other times there are disputes about real and fake prism. Let's just walk and see.
After some adjustments recently, my suggested holding ratio is: 70% in AI16z and Swarms, and 30% in other coins. The benefit of this approach is that the leading projects' gains may not be small, and the pullbacks won't be too deep, helping to stabilize the mindset. The remaining 30% can be used to chase alpha.
Recently, I also summarized a technique for bottom fishing: even if you are optimistic about a project, you should only initially take a small position, and wait for it to rebound and then retrace 60% before increasing your position. Don't FOMO too much...
On January 20, 2025, Trump officially takes office, and related concept coins will soar in popularity! Come and see this wave of layouts worth focusing on:
Core tokens and the relationships behind them:
1. RSR: The new SEC chairman, Paul Atkins, was previously an advisor for RSR.
2. ZRX & DYDX: David Sachs, who is responsible for AI and crypto at the White House, is an advisor for ZRX, and his venture capital firm has also invested in DYDX.
3. ENA / ONDO / LINK / AAVE: The Trump family's 'World Finance' team has completed the layout of these tokens through COW.
4. DOGE: The ‘Government Efficiency Department (DOGE)’ led by Musk, will old friends continue to pump it up?
Fan Q&A:
When is the right time to enter WLD on the right side?
When the price pulls back to the green area below and starts to rebound, you can enter the market.
Market confidence is getting stronger; whether mainstream coins or altcoins, they are quietly rising. Did you seize the opportunity?
The AI concept is still the market's favorite, and Meme coins are also accumulating explosive energy. The Meme narrative will still be hot in 2025, and both AI and Meme are currently at the bottom of their upward trends.
Even ordi sats are experiencing an increase at the weekly level. When the market comes, anyone can make money, but who can select those coins that rise first and rise the most relies on technology for early predictions and ambush.
I think the current market is steadily rising across various sectors, and it's not yet time for rotation.
I placed 80% of my position in relatively stable sectors: major coins like ETH and SOL, which are likely to outperform Bitcoin in the coming months. I will not change this allocation, and I will continue to hold other major coins in spot positions.
The remaining 20% is for short-term sniping: this 20% position is to deal with the uncertainty of when the bull market will start rotating. Nowadays, some low market cap coins rise 30%-50% daily, but remember to set stop-losses to avoid being affected by a market downturn. The target is to earn about 50% in the short term, with a high risk-reward ratio.
As long as you ride this bull market for 3-5 months, you can then take a good rest for several years.
Let's summarize the important news recently:
1. Exchange AI like WLD, Render, IQ, etc., are all rising, and JST and BTTC from the Sun brother system are also on the rise. Brother Sun is optimistic about AI and is ready to go 'all in.'
2. On-chain AI sectors like AI16z, ARC, Swarms, Griffain, etc., are all rising. There is strategic cooperation between AI16z and ARC, while Swarms is controlled by big players. Speculative funds are starting to flow into these top-tier coins.
3. Meme coin sector Fartcoin, Goat, Pnut, Chillguy, etc., are all declining.
