According to the bull and bear cycles in the cryptocurrency market, we are currently roughly in the later part of the fourth bull market. Typically, the cryptocurrency market follows a four-year cycle, where three years are bear markets and one year is a bull market. The first eight months of a bull market are usually a slow washout and adjustment phase.

The next two months are a rapid rise phase, and the final two months will begin to build a top.

Strictly speaking, the start time of this bull market should be in October 2023, so we are now in the 'intermission' of the bull market.

In terms of time, there are about five months left in the bull market, with the real explosive period expected to occur between February and May, and it may end around July 2025.

Of course, these are just speculations based on historical patterns and cannot be taken as conclusions.

Whether it is accurate remains to be seen, but from past cycles, this is generally the situation.

The market volatility in the cryptocurrency sector is rapid, and it does not sustain one-sided rises or falls.

It needs rapid increases to catch up with the market value of gold to maintain the vitality of the entire market.

Therefore, the cryptocurrency market usually has a four-year cycle, and the actual explosive period is typically completed within 3 to 4 months.

In other words, the four years of waiting are essentially for this short burst of 3 to 4 months of skyrocketing.

If you miss this period, the opportunity for profit is almost gone, and there may even be losses.

At the same time, the cryptocurrency market also needs to experience sharp declines to eliminate scams, junk projects, and speculators. The cryptocurrency market emphasizes efficiency; its purpose is to improve financial efficiency, so unreliable projects will ultimately be eliminated by the market.

When a bear market arrives, it is best to liquidate other cryptocurrencies and hold only BTC and ETH. Only these two assets may truly be able to weather the cycle, while most other projects may be eliminated in the process.

Currently, the best strategy is to patiently wait for the outbreak of the bull market, avoid rushing into operations, and staying calm is actually the wisest choice.

If you have already made your position allocation, you should have confidence in your choices and adjust your positions slightly at the right time, but it is best not to easily change large positions.