According to Foresight News and reports from CoinDesk, two major Canadian newspapers (Toronto Star) and (Globe and Mail) have successively disclosed that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is about to resign. (Toronto Star) expects the resignation statement to be released as early as Monday, while (Globe and Mail) predicts it will be announced before Wednesday. However, users on the betting platform Polymarket have mixed opinions on whether Trudeau will resign early.
According to Polymarket's prediction market, the likelihood of resigning on Monday is only 24%, the likelihood of resigning before Wednesday is 72%, and the likelihood of resigning before Friday is as high as 80%. The contract with the highest betting volume predicts that Trudeau will resign before this Friday, attracting over six-figure funds. In addition, Reuters reports that Trudeau has not yet made a final decision regarding his resignation. According to data from polling agency Angus Reid, Trudeau's approval rating is only 22%, and if elections were held immediately, his Liberal Party is expected to win only 46 seats, while the Conservative Party could secure 225 seats, easily winning a parliamentary majority.