Current Key Position of Bitcoin
For Bitcoin, let's look at the smaller levels. Where is its main position now? First, it's around $99,000, close to $100,000.
If we break through the vicinity of $100,000, the next position to remove is $100,000. This is likely where it will reach to gain liquidity, as many people are shorting from this point. Before gaining liquidity here, we currently cannot immediately place short orders at high positions; perhaps this line will be directly held, so we need to continuously observe the market.
Ethereum Trend Analysis
So for Ethereum, let's take a look. Firstly, a key level that it cannot break below, or a bearish level to watch, is $3,550. Currently, in the upward phase, where will the next position go? Let's pull up Fibonacci to see where its previous and next critical resistance levels are. Here, it is $3,720. Now let's look at the concentrated distribution of chips; we can see that breaking this line, which is at $3,718, means above $3,720, there is a huge vacancy, which is also a significant gap for a drop.
Possible rise after breaking through.
Therefore, if we break through this line of $3,720, it will be a smooth ride, and we will soon reach over $3,800. Then we will see what Ethereum has in store next.
The AI sector has once again entered a period of calm. How should we play next?
Pepe summarized a few suggestions for the brothers' reference.
1. Although $swarms broke through a market cap of $400 million yesterday, pushing the entire sector to a new high, this excitement period will not last long. A new round of survival of the fittest has already begun, and many newly generated AI concept projects have started to retract significantly, while most projects that ride the hot trend will likely be washed out.
2. From AI + meme to DeSic, from AIAgent to the secure combination of TEE + AI, and now to the反ai16z framework of $swarms. As the number of projects increases, the overall share of the AI sector in the market is continuously growing, and the market cap limit of leading projects is also constantly being surpassed, but the market cap limit of non-leading new projects is being compressed.
3. Currently, without a significant hot effect driving the next round, the landscape for playing new projects is gradually diminishing. Industry competition has formed an internal roll, and it is advisable to try new concepts and technological updates in the two major directions I mentioned earlier. Copy-paste projects without innovation will no longer easily gain market recognition.
4. During the market pullback phase, to achieve more stable capital risk, positions should be placed in familiar projects that have survived several rounds, preferably those with a market value above tens of millions or leading projects in niche sectors, such as $SPORE, $METAV, $swarms, etc. Additionally, the project I know best is $WORM, where the market cap between 20 million and 40 million shows very clear fluctuations. These types of projects have relatively lower risks of going to zero compared to new projects. As long as there is a new round of hot effects driving them, a rise is inevitable.
5. Never try to challenge the curse of the crypto world. The moment Sun tweeted ALL IN AI, we should realize that the market is likely to undergo a transformation. Let's just hope this marketing master can't stir up any waves in the face of absolute technical strength.
The AI Agent track is insane; new friends are very envious and want to ride this wave of market.
1. Large position selection.
Projects like ai16z, ZEREBRO, AIXBT, GOAT, VIrtual, etc., have emerged as leading projects of consensus, just like DeFi Summer placed heavy bets on MKR, COMP, UNI, LINK, etc.
2. Mid-position selection
arc, REI, Focai, ELIZA, Swarms, SPORE, SNAI, ALCH, NEUR, etc., are still in the chaotic stage of technical framework standards and innovative models.
3. Small position selection.
Rushing into various flying CA small projects may seem appealing at first glance, but they are subject to significant market fluctuations without time for proper research, such as MetaV, stoic, SYMX, TAOCAT, ZAILGO, POLY, etc. There will be many similar projects in the early stages, but among them, the number of imposters is also the highest. (We need to be cautious in distinguishing them.)
Summary: On-chain position layout suggests a layout of 5 + 4 + 1.
