Recreate BTC history, calculate the peak range and time of the current bull market based on various indicators
1. The current bull market peak is expected to be between mid-October 2025 and mid-December 2025.
2. The price forecast peak is expected to be between 162k and 195k.
Looking back at the previous two BTC bull markets, their complete time cycle was about 1400 days, and the interval between the bottoms of the adjacent two cycles was also stable at around 1440 days.
Based on this calculation, if historical patterns are followed, the deep bear bottom of this BTC market is likely to arrive in October 2026.
Observing 14 years later, BTC has experienced three halving events. It is worth noting that in the previous two bull markets, the time span from the bull market setting a new high to the next halving was basically around 900 days, while the current interval from the 2021 BTC new high to the last halving is also maintained at around 890 days.
In addition, further observation reveals that from each market bottom to the next bull market new high, the market usually takes about 1000 days to complete its accumulation.
At the same time, the time taken from BTC halving to the price reaching a new high is also consistently around 540 days.
Considering these key time node patterns, we speculate that the peak of this BTC bull market, which is when it sets a new historical high, is expected to be in mid-October to mid-December 2025.
Furthermore, by referring to the price increase range from each previous bottom to top, combined with the current market fundamentals and development trends, a conservative estimate suggests that when the BTC price challenges the historical new high, it is expected to reach between 162k and 195k.