#比特币走势观察

Today is January 3, 2025. BTC and ETH are both steadily rising. Continue to hold your coins for further gains.

Today, let's talk about risks. The unchanging BTC and the ever-changing altcoins; buying altcoins at this time requires caution. Many altcoins have already peaked, and the risks outweigh the opportunities. Don't be misled by illusions and lose your head.

So what are altcoins? They are everything except BTC. Always approach altcoins with caution; otherwise, if the coin price falls, you may never be able to break even in your lifetime.

Let me share a few real stories, which can only be called stories now. The BTC fork coin BCH reached over 4000 USD during the last major bull market, while in the latest bull market, it only rose to a little over 1500 USD. Those who got stuck at high positions in the previous bull market have yet to break even today.

Among the altcoins that reached new highs during the last bull market were ETH and the Ethereum fork coin ETC; the rest of the altcoins are just laughable.

This year, I still have high hopes for altcoins, and the king of altcoins is Ethereum. No altcoin can replace Ethereum.

Currently, many analysts are reallocating from Ethereum to SOL. To be honest, I really don't understand their logic. Today, let's talk about SOL, which currently has a market capitalization of over 100 billion USD. If it rises five times, it will have a market cap of over 500 billion USD. What supports such a large market cap? Over 100 billion is already quite large; how much more room is there for growth?

Now, let's discuss the risks. If it drops from over 100 billion USD to over 10 billion USD, that's a 90% drop. If it falls from over 100 billion USD to 1 billion USD, that's a 99% drop. Everyone, please calculate carefully: if you rush in now and it really drops, what will happen? The risks are yours to bear.

The market for the king of altcoins is about to arrive quickly. Ethereum's first target is 6500, and the second target is 10,000. No hindsight comments allowed. Continue to hold Ethereum fork coins.