【The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 88.8%】According to Golden Finance, based on CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 88.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.2%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 49.7%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.9%.