It's such a buying and selling thing that it's tough

$USUAL

let's analyze the 4hrs trading chart of Usual with all the key details.

MACD Analysis

DIF (0.576) > DEA (0.0490): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a bullish crossover and potential upward momentum.

MACD Value (0.0085): The value is positive but relatively small, suggesting early bullish momentum that hasn't fully solidified yet.

Volume Analysis
Current Volume (23,186,817):
Below MA5 (24,486,418): Indicates slightly reduced trading activity in the short term.

Above MA10 (19,203,687): Long-term activity is still healthy, but the recent decline in volume suggests weakening momentum.
Volume will need to pick up to confirm any rebound.
Moving Averages
MA7 (1.0061) < MA25 (1.0768) and MA7 < MA99 (1.0896):
The price is below both the medium (MA25) and long-term (MA99) moving averages, indicating the broader trend is still bearish.
MA25 > MA99: This shows long-term resistance, and a break above MA25 (1.0768) would be critical for a strong reversal signal.
Key Observations

1. Bullish Signs:
DIF > DEA indicates early bullish momentum.
Volume is higher than MA10, showing general market interest is present.

2. Bearish Signs:
Price is below key resistance levels (MA25 and MA99).
Volume needs to exceed MA5 to confirm strong buying pressure.

Conclusion
The 4-hour chart shows early signs of a potential rebound, but confirmation depends on:
1. Price Breakout Above MA25 (1.0768): A close above this level would confirm a trend reversal.
2. Increase in Volume: Look for volume exceeding MA5 to signal strong buying momentum.
3. MACD Continuation: DIF should stay above DEA, and the MACD histogram should expand positively.

Next Steps

Watch closely for price action near 1.0768 (MA25) and 1.0896 (MA99).
If volume and price break above these levels, a rebound is likely.
If price remains below MA25 and volume continues to drop, bearish continuation is more probable.

RSI
With RSI6 = 22.40, the 4-hour chart adds a significant piece of information:

RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis
RSI6 = 22.40: This value is deep in the oversold zone (typically below 30). It indicates that the asset is heavily oversold in the short term, which could lead to a potential rebound as buyers step in to take advantage of the lower price.

Implication: An RSI this low often suggests a high probability of a short-term reversal or a "relief bounce," especially if combined with bullish momentum indicators like MACD.

Key Observations with RSI
1. Oversold Condition:
RSI6 at 22.40 supports the idea that bearish pressure might be exhausted.
A rebound is likely if the RSI begins to turn upward (watch for a break above 30).

2. Support Confirmation:
If the price aligns with a support level (e.g., near MA7 at 1.0061) and RSI starts recovering, it strengthens the case for a bounce.
Overall Conclusion
The low RSI adds a strong signal for a possible rebound, especially in the short term.Combined with the MACD bullish crossover and volume slightly trailing, there is a fair chance of a bounce, provided the price holds above 1.0061 (MA7).
Next Steps
Watch RSI closely: If it starts climbing toward 30 or higher, it's a good confirmation of reversal strength.
Key Levels:
Support: 1.0061 (MA7) — Price should not close below this.
Resistance: 1.0768 (MA25) — A break above confirms bullish momentum.
Volume Check: A rise in volume above MA5 will solidify the rebound.