Why I Don't Dare to Update My Thoughts Frequently
Today, Zhenkang talks about current events.
I believe friends who have followed me for a while know that there was a time when I updated my thoughts very frequently, seven articles a day, with an accuracy rate of around 80%. So why has the quantity suddenly dropped?
This is due to several reasons.
The Korean gray swan event, where Zhenkang predicted a deep correction of 4000 points in advance, was fully realized. At that time, the complaints from bulls outweighed the thanks from bears.
A passionate heart yet unjustly bearing the anger, who wouldn't be upset?
The second reason is the ignorance of new investors towards international relations.
Zhenkang has repeatedly emphasized the impact of international relations on the cryptocurrency market.
However, new investors often scoff at this, focusing only on technical aspects and indicators.
But think about it: once the indicators fail, won't the impact of macro forces directly drive you to zero? A qualified old investor must have a sufficient respect for macro forces. This is the foundation for gaining a large space above 5000 points.
Zhenkang reminds you that merely focusing on bad and good news is not enough.
First, you need to pay attention to whether the monetary policies of Eurasian countries are loose, the level of inflation, and the interest rates. Political matters cannot be discussed in detail, but think carefully about which forces are your competitors against the Americans.
Second, combine the first point to observe changes in international relations; here Zhenkang gives a hint: China, Korea, Russia, Germany.
Third, the most important point is the slowing of regulatory intensity in different countries, which directly affects whether liquidity can be sustained.
Fourth, only after washing out small investors through back-and-forth trading will national-level forces enter the game. You new investors always talk about decentralization! If decentralization could be implemented, the market would have reached 120,000 long ago.
In summary, the macro situation can sometimes be more useful than the technical side; this is how reverse indicators are viewed.
I seek news, but updating my views is often said to be vague. However, discussing political matters in detail can lead to account bans. What can I say?
If my updates are correct, they get reported by competitors; if wrong, I face ridicule. I'm not a master of eternal profit; can't I make a mistake? Publicly sharing thoughts is meant to provide a general direction; if you only follow my public thoughts without grasping the operational details and blame me, Zhenkang, in return? You don't even look at the updated news.
It's pointless to say more; recently, the atmosphere has been too heavy. I will resume updating my frequency after some time.
