$BTC Nothing to do today, listening to music in the brothel
Crypto Insider, Butchering the Ox 12-28
I Focus on global financial data and events:
(1) On January 29, 25, the probability of no interest rate cut today is 89.3% (pay attention to risks in late January)
(2) Geopolitics: Stable (today's gold price is 2620.3U)
(3) US-Japan exchange rate: 157.84 (the yen continues to depreciate, which is good for crypto. There is a risk of interest rate hike at the end of January)
II On-chain data and market sentiment:
(1) Market sentiment analysis: 72 (greedy range, down 2 from yesterday), Google search trend 28
(2) ETF dynamics: BTC had a negative inflow of 3,006 yesterday; $ETH had a net inflow of 14,300; this week, the US Ethereum spot ETF had a cumulative net inflow of US$349.3 million. On December 28, according to Farside Investors data, the US Bitcoin spot ETF had a cumulative net outflow of US$377.6 million this week.
(3) Mining data analysis: 866.2.eh/s, handling fee 7.39 gas:3 S19 shutdown coin price: 59691-92822U
(4) Today's BTC holding weighted funding rate: 0.006% (normal)
(5) BTC market value accounts for 56.71%, down 0.95% from yesterday's 57.65%, which is good for altcoins
(6) bgb exploded, driving the platform coin sector, $BNB followed!
(7) Today's main logic of volatility review: weekend shrinkage, watch the altcoin performance
(8) Today's trading philosophy: follow your conscience, have nothing outside your heart, let the wind blow from the east, west, north, and south, and don't be moved by the rise and fall of the coin price!
Today's trading technique:
Using a four-dimensional perspective to observe the market trend, you will be able to climb to the top of the world and see all the mountains, and achieve a dimensionality reduction attack on the dog dealer!
BTC ETF BlackRock and Grayscale have net inflows, and other institutions have negative inflows, which is not a big problem. The negative inflows are slower than those in other days this week;
ETH ETF institutions continue to have net inflows, with a net inflow of 14,300, and no institutions have negative inflows, which is good for cottages;
Recent potential positives
1. FTX compensation funds enter the market (the Chapter 11 restructuring plan approved by the court will take effect on January 3, 2025, pay attention to the trend of FTT tokens)
2. Liquidity recovery after Christmas
3. Positive after option delivery
Recent potential negatives
1. Japan's next interest rate hike backstabs (January/March)
2. The United States suspends interest rate cuts (January)
The above content is for information sharing only,
and does not constitute any investment advice!
Investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market!