2024-12-26

Now the "risk aversion" has begun to appear again. The Asian market has risen in the past two days. There are concerns about the possible selling after the opening of the US stock market in the evening, and some funds have taken profits in advance. This has led to a downward trend in the market price.

After the big cake fell below 964, the lower side is 948-943-933. Whether it goes to the previous low depends on the attitude of BlackRock tonight.

The old Americans are still in the Christmas holiday. Although Wall Street is working, the probability of large net inflows during this holiday is relatively low, but similarly, the probability of large net outflows during this period is also low.

You can also understand that it is now a "shock". Until the January Japanese interest rate meeting, there is no major known potential negative. It just needs to grind here for a while. After the holiday, ETFs will resume positive large net inflows.

The 98850-99800 of Bitcoin and 3512-3520 of Ethereum and 198-201 of Sol mentioned two days ago really need the main force to make a big positive line breakthrough. It is difficult to pass through here in small steps.

Short-term friends have been stuck at these two positions for the past two days, and they should have eaten a little, but I don’t recommend you to trade like this. It’s easy to get carried away and emotional.

Before Bitcoin stabilizes, it’s best not to buy the bottom, because many copycats have no obvious chip advantages. From the previous low, they are basically 20-30%. However, this price is not deadly. If you really can’t help it, just enter a spot position, and then don’t cover the floating loss unless it is confirmed as the bottom.

Wait a few more days, the American New Year holiday is over, and the market will return to normal.

From now on, the probability of falling all the way to January and then falling again is not high. There will definitely be a rebound in the middle, but most of the coins will not rebound to the position where they started to fall. For example, Audi at 48, Sol at 240, and Ethereum at 3800.

For those who have spot stocks and support the coin standard, do not open 1x for the time being and wait a little longer. For those who do not support the coin standard, it is recommended to lie flat and let it rot. Anyway, at the latest, you will get out of the car without loss in March.

For some friends who entered the market in March and April this year and had very poor targets, such as Aveo, Ace, YGG, and WLD, it is highly likely that the bull peak will not return to your prices in March and April. It is best to find a good time to change positions.