With specific information about BIO Protocol, we can analyze further about market capitalization (Market Cap) and fully diluted valuation (FDV):
1. Basic Data:
Total Supply: 3,320,000,000 BIO.
TGE (Token Generation Event): 1,296,529,168 BIO (~39.05% of total supply).
Projected FDV: 2 billion USD (FDV = Total Supply × Token Price).
Market Cap at TGE: 800 million USD (based on TGE supply).
2. FDV and Market Cap Analysis
FDV: This is the total value of the project if all tokens are in circulation. With an FDV of 2 billion USD, this is a significant figure, reflecting high expectations from the market.
Market Cap at TGE (~800 million USD): This is the actual market capitalization of BIO upon listing, reflecting only the amount of tokens in circulation (39.05%).
Are FDV and Mcap reasonable?
With an FDV of 2 billion USD, BIO Protocol will rank alongside major blockchain projects in the biotechnology application field.
Market Cap at the time of listing (800 million USD) also places BIO among mid-large projects, comparable to projects like The Graph (GRT) or Injective (INJ) at launch.
3. Listing Effect:
Based on data from previous Launchpool projects, we can predict the price effect upon listing:
Strong Increase (Bullish): If the community reacts positively, the price could increase from 2-5 times the initial price, pushing the Market Cap to 1.6B-4B USD, while FDV could reach 4-10 billion USD.
Stable (Neutral): If the market reacts moderately, the Market Cap could maintain around 800M-1.2B USD after listing.
Slight Decrease (Bearish): Profit-taking pressure from Launchpool investors could cause the price to drop, with Market Cap fluctuating between 500-700M USD.
4. Factors to Monitor:
Trading Volume: High trading on the first day of listing could create significant volatility.
Motivation from Binance: Support from Binance, such as promotional programs or staking, will positively impact the price.
Market Sentiment: If the overall market is positive, the growth opportunity for BIO will be higher.
5. Conclusion and Predictions:
Initial Price Prediction: If the Market Cap at TGE is 800M USD, the price of 1 BIO will be approximately 0.617 USD.
Price Prediction: The price could fluctuate from 1.2 USD - 3.0 USD in the first trading sessions, depending on the level of FOMO and selling pressure from investors.
Price Prediction for BIO Protocol with Growth Scenarios
Based on the parameters of BIO Protocol, we will calculate the token price in different scenarios using the formula:
Basic Data:
Circulating Token Amount (TGE Supply): 1,296,529,168 BIO (~39.05% of total supply).
Market Cap at TGE: 800 million USD.
Initial Price:
BIO Price Growth Scenario
1. Bullish Scenario (Strong Increase)
Market Cap doubles or triples after listing:
Corresponding Price:
Result:
2. Neutral Scenario (Stable)
Market Cap increases slightly by 1.2-1.5 times:
Corresponding Price:
Result:
3. Bearish Scenario (Slight Decrease)
Market Cap decreases to 60-80% of the initial:
Corresponding Price:
Result:
Comparing FDV and Mcap Values
Summary
Remarks
Bullish: This is a feasible scenario if the community is strong and the project has high practical applications.
Neutral: Usually occurs if there is not too much FOMO but the project still receives stable interest.
Bearish: Can occur if selling pressure from Launchpool participants is high or the market is unfavorable.
