#圣诞行情分析
Christmas is just around the corner, and according to tradition, most American investors will enter a long holiday mode, which is likely to last until around January 5. During this period, the financial market seems to have been pressed by a 'slow down' button, and liquidity is likely to be significantly reduced. It is important to know that the funds in the market are like migratory birds; once the holiday arrives, they often 'fly away' to areas of assets that are safer and more liquid, resulting in a situation of capital outflow.
Currently, spot ETFs are a crucial external 'blood transfusion' channel for the cryptocurrency market, carrying a large influx of external funds. However, because of this, once capital begins to flow out, the pressure it places on the cryptocurrency market is even greater than in previous years. On the one hand, the large withdrawal of funds makes the available trading capital increasingly tight; on the other hand, market participants, due to the tense funding situation, are increasingly seeking safe-haven assets, like startled birds, looking for more stable asset allocations.
What’s more concerning is that considering the tight funding situation during the Christmas holiday, combined with the current complex and volatile political and economic situation, it is possible that a wave of deleveraging operations may arise at this special juncture before Trump takes office. After all, under the dual pressure of increasing uncertainty and tightening funds, investors and institutions, seeking self-preservation and to reduce risk exposure, will find deleveraging to be their 'life-saving symbol.' Consequently, the cryptocurrency market and the entire financial sector will face significant fluctuations and challenges during this period, and all participants need to be on high alert.
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