#加密市场反弹 $BNB Today is a sad, venting day. I couldn't sleep and posted early. I have no short-term techniques, only judgments on the big trend and the fight against my own emotions. If you don’t like it, ignore it. I’ve said a lot today, whatever comes to mind, may seem incoherent. Prepare to watch for more than 10 minutes.
BNB didn’t catch up before the correction; there’s nothing we can do.
Just like Bitcoin, everyone knows it will break the previous high of 69000, but no one knows when or how it will break. After breaking 69000, everyone knows it will break 100,000, but again, no one knows when or how.
This is the certainty of the long-term big direction and the uncertainty of short-term fluctuations. These are completely two different things; I eat certainty, so stop talking about selling at 790 and buying back at 600+, okay? If this volatility were so easy to profit from, everyone would be rich. Look at how much you have in your pocket; are you free? If you are not free yourself, don't come and instruct me on swing trading.
Moreover, under the serious undervaluation of BNB, I haven’t earned much, so I am even less likely to leave. Otherwise, what have I endured these months for? I started holding long-term contracts at 650 in June, do you know? I only made a little profit after holding for six months; you expect me to leave? 650-450 was just a pain in vain? Rebounded to 600- then dropped to 400, just suffered for nothing?
The biggest mistake I made this cycle was that I should have decisively taken contracts when BNB was around 200. If I didn't take it back then, I shouldn't have taken it later. Who would have thought this bull market would develop so difficultly? I have endured the two most painful major corrections for so long, and I have seen the main upward wave. Although I didn’t profit this time, I am already at dawn!!!
Remember, swing trading is not something ordinary people like you, who don’t even have a few bucks in your pocket, can profit from. If you want to make money through swing trading, among 100 people, 99 will zero out. It’s a sea of corpses and blood, do you know? Money earned through luck will eventually be lost through skill. Don’t feel like a god just because you won temporarily. Such 'winners' are too few.
So, brothers, stop making a fuss. The way is simple; just hold on to it to win. The more you mess around, the more you lose, except for the very few experts. Let those top people gamble with the market makers; us ordinary folks should just be honest. We can't control the market makers, so can’t we control ourselves? If we can’t even do that, then we can only retreat from the circle.
Moreover, this circle originally has large fluctuations, is unregulated, and is influenced by news. Doing short-term contracts feels really losing; market makers can do as they please.
Especially for short-term contracts, I really haven't seen anyone free; those are all doing medium-term trades.
And among this same group of free people, at least 90% have spot freedom, while only 10% have contract freedom.
Among the 90% of spot freedom, 90% have been holding onto that freedom, and only 10% have swing trading freedom.
I think this ratio won't deviate too much; this is my belief. You can ask the free people around you how they play for their freedom.
You can seriously think about what kind of path your short-term contracts are on.
Don't watch the square's KOLs every day; others who are KOLs don't post pressure and support every day. What do they post then? Should they only post once every few months? What kind of fans would that attract? What are they doing as KOLs, and how can they eat commissions fiercely like that?
Others post so much every day; ask them what they have done themselves. Also, what is their funding situation? If someone has 1 million in hand but only takes out 10 thousand to trade, you follow them, and they won’t feel pain if they lose; you will be the one to bleed. Just to mention a big KOL, who when they had only a few thousand U left, opened a position with a commission of 30%. They seem quite genuine in what they say, but they don't hold back when they actually act. You have to know that in this market, doing swing trading means there will be wins and losses. To make money, it's about winning more and losing less. After a few wins and losses, if the others eat a 30% commission, they will be full; the followers will be bled out. Eating just 10% or 15% is enough; why go so hard, and still have a bunch of people following? It's ridiculous; there are really endless leeks to be harvested.
And about the meeting fee, there are some experts in the square, but not many, and it's hard to filter. If someone really has strength, paying a little money to learn is not a loss, but don’t follow blindly. It's like someone filtered through and sent it to you; you refer to it and combine it with your own thoughts to make a decision.
Before you pay, observe more, look at their own positions, don't just listen to what they say, pay attention to what they actually do. If they don't have much money themselves, don't believe them; if they aren't even opening positions themselves, don't believe them; if their words and actions don't match, don't believe them. Don't believe the ones who take a million and take out ten thousand for play. Also be careful of photo editing masters and simulation masters.
Anyway, there are many pitfalls; you need to filter yourself. I have observed and interacted for many months. There's a decent one, a counselor; you can search for them yourself. And another one, a 'sugar orange'; I haven’t interacted with this person, but they have posted very few times in the square over a long time, and their posts are indeed quite good. There must be other great ones, but I am increasingly disliking watching the square and thinking about these things; my energy is all spent on combating my own emotions.
If I want to do swing trading, I am willing to spend some money to refer to the information they have filtered, but I am doing cycles, and this information is actually not useful to me.
Relying on mountains means mountains will collapse; relying on people means people will run. Relying on oneself is the hard truth. No matter how awesome others are, they can only serve as a reference. Ultimately, fate must be in your own hands. (About the KOL following fees and such, I've never wanted to talk about it. If I say it, I'll definitely become the public enemy and get criticized. I’ll only say this once.)
Everyone should know that BNB will definitely break 1000, we just don’t know when and how. So we can only endure and wait.
Just hold onto the spot and wait, no need to do anything, lying in the big trend, that's winning.
I do not recommend anyone to do contracts, although I am greedy myself. As long as there are contracts, there is always the risk of zeroing out.
The more money you have, the greater the fear of zeroing out. If 10,000 goes to zero, you can recharge and fight again in a minute. But if you have more and it goes to zero, thinking about turning back is hard.
So actually very few big funds do contracts, most are those who have been beaten down and have become honest. There is nothing impossible in the financial market; only spot can have a chance to come back in extreme situations.
No one can remain indifferent in the face of zeroing out, which is why I am suffering so much. Pure spot puts no pressure on me at all. Is there pressure from contracts? One sky, one earth.
I really don't want to watch this bullshit market, but holding contracts puts real pressure on me. It's uncomfortable not to look, and it's always on my mind. To put it bluntly, unlucky life, just call it cool down. Every day when you open your eyes, there's a one in a thousand chance of a black swan waiting for you.
Some say you won't consider selling until after a thousand anyway, so it doesn't matter whether it rises or falls now. Big brother, 500 black swans coming at 50 points means 250, 800 black swans coming at 50 points means 400, is that the same? This concerns my zeroing out, can it be the same? Look at the last round's 519 chart, how many coins had a lower price when the last black swan came than the current prices of these coins? It's really ironic.
The faster it rises, the more forgiving I am to the price. As a result, damn it, in March it was 640, and now, after a nine-month upward trend, it can still be 660?? Damn it, let me make some money, it's too damn hard?!
That's why big funds are all in Bitcoin; Bitcoin is the eternal god. Bitcoin never disappoints anyone, and the whole market has to act according to Bitcoin's mood. In the next cycle, I will only buy Bitcoin; it's too good.
BNB, you let me down!!! I took on a greater risk and didn’t choose Bitcoin, but you didn’t give me a bigger return! Wasn’t it said that with risk comes reward?! Damn you, BNB!! Don’t test me anymore; I can’t take it! Let me win quickly!!
Ethereum is really miserable, although it has risen quite a bit this time, now it's 3300, in March it was 4000, and the historical high was 4800. Those holding Ethereum are quite miserable too.
Compared to the brothers holding Ethereum, BNB seems to be doing quite well. Thanks to Ethereum for the comfort it brings us.
Why focus on these two? Because apart from Bitcoin, BNB and ETH are the ones you can dare to go all in on. Other altcoins that can be gambled on are all small funds; if you have a big fund and still gamble on altcoins, you are indeed a warrior, impressive.
Those who lived well in the previous bull market were able to just take a little, and it surged wildly, dozens of times increase. Look at how the current brothers are living; they are in deep water and fire. I envy those from before too much, but all those experiences have turned into lessons. Now that the lessons have been learned, the dividends are getting less and less. It’s just one cycle short; alas, it’s all fate. Those brothers who didn’t seize the opportunity and still messed around this time will find it even harder next time; cherish it.
I reiterate that the bull market is not over yet; the probability of black swans is greater than the current bear probability. We still have time, but it’s really exhausting. Just this up and down has cooled off so many people, while market makers are making a fortune. Can they leak a bit more soup for us?
Despite this process having countless tests, pains, and doubts, do not let your emotions affect your judgment.
Each day we endure brings us one step closer to victory.
Believe in the big trend, believe in Binance, believe in yourself.
I stuck it out for another day, praising myself for being awesome, really holding my breath, just one more push, the monthly line really looks bad, only ten days left, don't let it go the worst way! 😭
After saying a lot, I know it’s quite messy. Thank you for your patience in reading it through. Wish you all the best.
Oh right, Tyson Fury and Usyk's rematch, who do you think will win? It's on now, watch quickly.
