$VELODROME

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

1. Trend analysis:

- The price is in a sideways trend within the range of 0.196-0.204 in the last 4 hours

- MA20, MA50, and MA100 are all trending downward, indicating that the downtrend has not yet ended

- Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating accumulation and a potential breakout

2. Volume analysis:

- Average trading volume in the last 4 hours is about 150-200K VELO

- The buying/selling ratio is quite balanced (45-55%)

- CMF20 is negative (-0.22), indicating that selling pressure is still dominant

3. Momentum analysis:

- RSI is in the range of 40-45, indicating that the downward momentum is slowing down

- MACD is showing signs of bottoming out and trending upwards

- MFI is in the oversold range (30-35)

FORECAST SCENARIOS (4-24H):

Scenario 1 (probability 60%): Sideways and accumulation

- Price fluctuates in the range of 0.195-0.205

- Volume maintains at average levels

- Confirmation signs: RSI and MACD continue to move sideways

Scenario 2 (probability 30%): Breakout upwards

- Price surpasses 0.205 with strong volume increase

- Target: 0.215 (+5%)

- Confirmation signs: Volume spikes, RSI exceeds 60

Scenario 3 (probability 10%): Breakout downwards

- Price breaks below 0.195 with increased volume

- Target: 0.185 (-5%)

- Confirmation signs: Volume spikes with RSI below 30

TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:

1. Long/Short:

- Do not open new positions as the market is accumulating

- Wait for a clear breakout with volume to confirm the trend

2. Entry points:

- Long: > 0.205 with volume > 500K VELO/4h

- Short: < 0.195 with volume > 500K VELO/4h

3. Risk management:

- Stop loss: 2-3% from the entry point

- Minimum Risk/Reward ratio of 1:2

- Only trade 30-50% of capital due to potential high volatility

Note: This analysis is for reference only; investors should be cautious and have a suitable risk management strategy.