After hitting a high and then falling on December 16, Bitcoin plummeted for three consecutive days, falling from $108,365 to $95,682, a drop of more than $11,000, or more than 10%. Driven by the decline of Bitcoin, the entire cryptocurrency circle collapsed and continued to plummet.

图片

The day before yesterday, I reminded everyone that the market might be about to correct. As a result, Bitcoin really plummeted, and nearly 300,000 people were forced to close their positions. It was a horrible sight!

图片

There are two main reasons for this sharp drop:

One is that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut plan for next year is not strong enough, which has caused bad luck for the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin as well;

Another point is that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said they will not buy Bitcoin and do not want to change the laws.

But I think both of these issues are temporary; the market will digest them after a while.

Back to today's daily $BTC market analysis, from the K-line perspective, the 1-hour level is down, the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is down, the daily level is down, the intraday resistance is $99,000, and the support is $94,000; note that $95,000 is a crucial key position!!

You must not be 'flattered to death and cut for no reason.'

ORDI is trending, so someone is speculating on SATS, saying they are seizing the leader.

GOAT is trending, Eastern people say ACT, Westerners are into FARTCOIN.

VIRTUAL is trending, and immediately there are more AI.

So, the retail investors are exhausted and in rags. PVP games have gone from being conspiratorial to being large-scale; if you want to keep it simple, you can only focus more on those top-tier, visionary individuals and projects.

Just a final reminder, with Christmas approaching, the end of the 2024 fiscal year, and Trump soon to take office, the capital market has already priced in; in previous years, this time window has been relatively quiet for the capital market. Industry tycoon Arthur Hayes believes that the cryptocurrency market will experience a painful crash around January 20, 2025, the date of Trump's inauguration, followed by a buy-the-dip opportunity.

In the near future, Bitcoin may maintain a large range of fluctuation between $80,000 and $110,000, similar to the fluctuation state of Bitcoin between $50,000 and $70,000 after March, until new events change this trend (black swan events, large monetary easing, strategic reserve asset passage, etc.). Altcoins remain in a bear market; this is just a rebound, with no ecosystem, no new funds, and the fundamentals of VCs continuously unlocking and cashing out have not changed. Additionally, major platforms are launching many new coins to extract value, making it difficult for altcoins to have a trending market.