Article reprint source: Trading Moment

1. Market Watch

Keywords: ETH, ETF, BTC

El Salvador, despite reaching an agreement with the International Monetary Fund, continues to accelerate its Bitcoin purchases through ambitious plans. This news coincided with the proposed Bitcoin reserve bill, which, if enacted, could end the four-year boom-bust cycle in the cryptocurrency market.

Currently, the average profit for Bitcoin investors has reached 67,000 US dollars. As the cryptocurrency market expands, experts predict that crypto indices will become a market barometer like the S&P 500. However, major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant pullbacks after the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut.

In this regard, veteran trader Peter Brandt is bullish on the Bitcoin-gold ratio, believing the current slump may be temporary, but analyst Justin Bennett warns that if bulls lose momentum, it could decline further.

On the policy front, Senator Cynthia Lummis plans to authorize the Federal Reserve to purchase and hold Bitcoin. Craig Wright, who claims to be the creator of Bitcoin, has been sentenced. President Trump has promised to establish a national strategic Bitcoin reserve, and the German Free Democratic Party is also pushing to integrate digital assets into the country's existing financial framework. Despite the current market downturn, there remains optimism in the industry regarding the maturation of the crypto market in the coming years as institutional investors purchase Bitcoin equivalent to eight years' worth of issuance in 2024.

2. Key Data (as of December 20, 09:25 HKT)

  • S&P 500: 5,867.08 points (up 23.00% year-to-date)

  • Nasdaq: 20,109.06 points (up 29.05% year-to-date)

  • 10-year US Treasury yield: 4.559% (up 67.81 basis points year-to-date)

  • US Dollar Index: 106.593 (up 7.05% year-to-date)

  • Bitcoin: 96,983.10 US dollars (up 129.46% year-to-date), daily spot trading volume is 97.39 billion US dollars

  • Ethereum: 3,415.35 US dollars (up 49.70% year-to-date), daily spot trading volume is 59.25 billion US dollars

3. ETF Flows (December 19 EST)

  • Bitcoin ETF: -647.89 million US dollars

  • Ethereum ETF: -63.16 million US dollars

4. Important Dates (HKT)

Retail sales month-on-month (December 17, 09:30 PM)

  • Actual: 0.7% / Previous: 0.5% / Expected: 0.5%

Federal Reserve interest rate decision (December 19, 03:00 AM)

  • Actual: 4.5% / Previous: 4.75% / Expected: 4.5%

GDP quarterly quarter-on-quarter final value (December 19, 09:30 PM)

  • Actual: 3.1% / Previous: 3.00% / Expected: 2.80%

Core PCE Price Index month-on-month (December 20, 09:30 PM)

  • Actual: Pending announcement / Previous: 0.3% / Expected: 0.2%

Personal income month-on-month (December 20, 09:30 PM)

  • Actual: Pending announcement / Previous: 0.6% / Expected: 0.4%

Personal spending month-on-month (December 20, 09:30 PM)

  • Actual: Pending announcement / Previous: 0.4% / Expected: 0.5%

5. Hot News

  • Metaplanet issues 5 billion yen in ordinary bonds to accelerate Bitcoin purchases

  • Mt. Gox address just transferred nearly 720 BTC, valued at about 69.87 million US dollars

  • Data: The number of active cryptocurrency users in Hong Kong is currently estimated to be only about 100,000

  • El Salvador's wallet address increased its holdings by 11 bitcoins, valued at 1.07 million US dollars

  • The US SEC has approved Hashdex to launch a Nasdaq Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto index ETF

  • El Salvador officials: Will accelerate the purchase of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve; the official Bitcoin wallet Chivo will be sold or discontinued

  • A trader who bought UFD for 700 US dollars is now worth over 12.56 million US dollars

  • The US-listed company reAlpha plans to use up to 25% of its surplus cash to purchase cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin mining company MARA has increased its holdings by 15,574 bitcoins in the last two months, valued at about 1.53 billion US dollars

  • Bitcoin mining company Hut 8 increased its holdings by 990 BTC, bringing the total reserve value to 1 billion US dollars

  • Ceffu deposited 2,025 BTC to Binance, approximately 207 million US dollars

  • Fuel has opened airdrop claims and token staking

  • Binance Alpha has announced the third batch of projects

  • Bitwise CIO: This pullback in BTC is just a short-term fluctuation and does not change the long-term bullish trend of the crypto market

  • Binance user survey: 23.89% of respondents believe AI tokens will dominate market growth in 2025, 16.1% hold Meme coins

  • Kelp DAO released KERNEL tokenomics, with 55% allocated to community rewards and airdrops

  • El Salvador reached a 1.4 billion US dollar loan agreement with the IMF, Bitcoin payments will become voluntary

  • Powell: We are not allowed to own Bitcoin and do not wish to change the law

  • Trump family's crypto project WLFI announces it is seeking long-term cooperation with Ethena Labs

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