Strategy Analysis After the 12/19 Federal Reserve Rate Cut Announcement
ETHUSDT Analysis
• Current Price: 3,685.51 USDT
• Price Change: -6.63%
• 24-Hour Low: 3,634.97 USDT
• EMA(7), EMA(25), EMA(99) are all in bearish alignment, indicating that the downtrend has not yet ended.
• MACD Indicator: DIF and DEA are in negative territory, and the MACD histogram is still expanding, reflecting strong bearish momentum.
Suggestions:
1. Bearish Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the EMA(7) or encounters resistance in the 3,700-3,720 range, consider shorting at a high, setting a stop-loss above 3,750.
• Target Range: 3,640 - 3,600.
• Follow the trend with short positions and patiently wait for further testing of support levels.
2. Bullish Strategy:
• Wait for the price to stabilize in the 3,600-3,630 range and form a clear reversal signal (such as RSI oversold rebound or MACD golden cross).
• Conservative longs can enter near 3,630, with a stop-loss below 3,600, and a short-term target looking back to 3,700.
BTCUSDT Analysis
• Current Price: 100,770.4 USDT
• Price Change: -5.55%
• 24-Hour Low: 100,611 USDT
• EMA(7) and EMA(25) form a significant bearish alignment, with prices declining along EMA(7), indicating strong short-term pressure.
• MACD Indicator: Bearish momentum is significantly enhanced, and MACD is still in the expansion phase, making short-term support hard to find.
Suggestions:
1. Bearish Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the 101,500 - 102,000 range and encounters resistance, consider shorting in batches, with a stop-loss set above 102,500.
• Target Range: 100,500 - 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, it may accelerate towards 99,000.
2. Bullish Strategy:
• Wait for a rebound signal near the key psychological support level of 100,000, such as a long lower shadow or significant rebound volume.
• Conservative longs can enter around 100,000, with a stop-loss set at 99,500, ensuring clear control of downside risk.
• Short-term target is to rebound to the 101,200 - 101,500 range.
Summary of Operation Strategies:
• Bearish: Focus on shorting when resistance is encountered on rebounds, and set stop-losses strictly.
• Bullish: Patiently wait for key support levels to confirm rebound signals before entering, focusing on short-term rebound operations.
Exercise caution, manage risks well, and avoid chasing highs and lows.