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今天下跌预期是大概率的，因为投资者需要避险今天晚上的美联储议息会议，这次的会议重点已经不是降息25个基点，而是点阵图和鲍威尔的讲话。 说人话就是美联储在2025年可能会执行只有2次至4次的降息，2025年的利率越高，发生黑天鹅的概率就越高，市场也会更加的担心宽松政策的延后，所以投资者的风险意识在提升，置顶推文中也有详细的解释。 除了议息会议还有日本在12月会不会加息，也是在19日会有结果，虽然加息的概率1确实不大，但避险一下也是正常的，而且今天的这两件事很有可能就和下周的圣诞节联系在一起了。
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2024.12.18 日 晚间盘解: 今晚注定是个不眠之夜，凌晨 3点的决息一定是非常激烈的！ 今日市场的情绪确实是非常恐慌的，别看贪婪指数高，但是很多人肯定是不敢进场的！
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