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After the announcement by the Fed, the futures market is betting that there will NOT be another rate cut in January 2025.
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Investor Grant Cardon (600 million dollars of own capital) and the owner of an investment firm (4.5 billion dollars in assets) predicts the emergence of a black swan that will plunge the USA into recession. The goal: to try to prevent Trump's plans (including the introduction of a strategic Bitcoin reserve).
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After the decision of the Fed, the Dow index fell by 250 points, which puts it in danger of setting a series of 10 red days in a row. If the Dow closes in negative territory today, it will be the first 10-day losing streak since 1974.
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At the FOMC, fears about inflation increased again. The number of FOMC members who see risks to raising the core PCE rose from 3 to 15. This was the biggest meeting-to-meeting increase since at least 2017. The median inflation forecast for the next year increased from 2.1% to 2.5%. This practically guarantees a pause in rate cuts in January 2025.
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