Consensus forecast - interest rate cut by 25 bp (probability = 95.4%)
▪️ The Economist: - Lower inflation with a strong labor market is the best path for the Fed, investors and policymakers. - But current macro data point to persistent “stickiness” of inflation, which threatens the monetary and political stability of the United States.
▪️ Bloomberg: - Economists expect fewer Fed rate cuts in 2025. Reason: rising inflation + concerns about new trade tariffs from D. Trump.
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