【The probability that Ethereum will reach an ATH this year on Polymarket has dropped to only 13%】According to Jinse Finance, the probability of Ethereum not reaching a new historical high this year on Polymarket has risen to 87%. The probability of Ethereum reaching an ATH this year has dropped to only 13%. It is worth noting that on December 7, influenced by the market sentiment at the time, the probability of Ethereum reaching an ATH this year on Polymarket once soared to 41%.