12.18 Morning Analysis #BTC再创新高 #比特币冲向11万？
The market has been setting new highs, but the market was calm in the early stage. Eth has never stood firm at 4100, Sol has not exploded, and the mem sector is not as good as before. Most of the cottages are falling. There is a Fed interest rate meeting at 3 am, and the storm is coming.
1. BTC is currently quoted at 105500. As expected, it hit a high point again yesterday. After the opening of the US stock market, the price quickly rose to 108417 (European and Italian perpetual) and then fell back quickly, and fell all the way in the early morning. At present, after the daily line closed with a not very long upper lead, the closing price is not far from the past two days, and there are signs of exhaustion. In the 4 hours, there is an obvious profit-taking at the high point, and the overall volume is in decline. There are no obvious structural features in the small structure, but it has fallen below the trend line from the 10th, with a potential harmonic bat pattern D point, marked at 102600. In general, we need to pay attention to the intraday trend and closing, and there is a Federal Reserve interest rate meeting at 3 am, which is a relatively heavy news. And as Christmas approaches, according to past experience, the market will have some callbacks at this time point. From the CME Bitcoin futures chart, there is also a gap of 102500 to fill. In summary, we need to pay attention to risks in the short term.
Intraday strategy
103000-102500 long stop loss 101800 take profit 105000
101000-100500 long stop loss 99800 take profit 102500
No short orders will be released for the time being, and real-time short strategies will be shared
2. ETH is currently quoted at 3870. I have a bias against this coin. It has not been able to stand firm at 4100 recently, which is a scam. Every time it touches it in the form of a pin, and then it starts to fall. I am not optimistic about it in the short term. And from the weekly chart, if it fails to break through 4100, there may be a weekly head and shoulders-right shoulder retracement market. I estimate that this large-scale callback will bury a group of people. There is no structural sign in the short term, and 3830 is at the support position. If there is still no capital intervention at this position, we can only look at the positions of 3700. Pay attention to tonight's data.
Intraday strategy
3950-3985 short, stop loss 4050, take profit 3840/3700
No long orders will be released for the time being, real-time long strategies will be shared