$ME
CASH FLOW ANALYSIS AND BUDGET:
1. Long/Short Situation:
- Total Long Volume: 13.27M
- Total Short Volume: 15.77M
- The Long/Short ratio is leaning towards Short with a difference of -2.50M
- Selling pressure is dominating
2. Cash Flow Analysis:
- Net cash flow 24h: -376.40K
- Large orders (>100K) are trending towards net selling
- The leverage ratio is gradually decreasing, indicating cautious investors
UPDATE OF RECOMMENDATIONS:
Scenario 1 (Probability decreases to 40%):
- Recovery to 3.25-3.30 is unlikely in the short term
- More positive signals are needed from cash flow and the Long/Short ratio
Scenario 2 (Probability increases to 60%):
- Prices continue to decrease to 3.00 with increased trading volume
- Signs: Strong Short pressure, negative cash flow
ADJUSTMENT RECOMMENDATION:
- DO NOT OPEN LONG at this moment
- Consider SHORT with:
+ Entry: 3.15-3.18
+ Target: 3.00
+ Stop loss: 3.22
VOLATILITY ASSESSMENT:
- Probability of decreasing >5% in the next 24h: 40%
- Probability of increasing >5%: 15%
- Levels to pay attention to:
+ Strong resistance: 3.20
+ Important support: 3.00
Investors should be particularly cautious due to:
1. Strong selling pressure from large orders
2. Negative cash flow
3. The Short/Long ratio is leaning towards Short