$ENS
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
1. Current trend:
- Price is in a short-term sideways range of 43.8-44.4
- MACD is giving a negative signal as the MACD line crosses below the Signal line
- RSI is in the neutral zone of 45-55, indicating the market lacks a clear trend
- Bollinger Bands are narrowing, showing decreasing volatility
2. Volume analysis:
- Trading volume has gradually decreased in the last 4 hours
- The Buy/Sell volume ratio shows no significant difference
- CMF20 and MFI14 indicate weak money flow into the market
SCENARIO ASSESSMENT:
Scenario 1 (Probability 60%):
- Price continues to sideway within the range of 43.5-44.5
- Confirmation signs: Volume remains low, BB continues to narrow
- ±5% volatility chance: Low
Scenario 2 (Probability 40%):
- Test the support zone of 43.0-43.2
- Confirmation signs: RSI drops below 40, volume spikes when price decreases
- -5% volatility chance: Average
TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS:
1. Long position:
- Do not open a long position at the current time
- Potential entry point: 43.0-43.2 with confirming volume
2. Short position:
- Consider shorting when the price tests back to the range of 44.4-44.5
- Stop loss: 45.0
- Take profit: 43.2-43.4
3. Risk management:
- Do not open large positions due to low volatility
- Set tight stop loss due to the market lacking a clear trend
CONCLUSION:
- ±5% volatility chance in the next 4-24 hours: Low (30%)
- Should wait for a breakout signal from the sideways range with confirming volume
- Prioritize short trades within the range with small size