#加密用户突破1800万 Bitcoin hits a new record high, aiming at $110,000: Ethereum breaks through $4,000, with a maximum test of 4,105. The market is serious about Trump's establishment of a national Bitcoin reserve. Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed, with the Nasdaq up 1.24%, setting a new record; the S&P 500 rose 0.39%, and the Dow fell 0.25%. Most large technology stocks rose, with Tesla up more than 6%, Google up more than 3%, Intel and Amazon up more than 2%, Apple up more than 1%, Netflix and Meta up slightly; Nvidia fell more than 1%, and once fell into the correction range during the session. Among them, Tesla, Google, and Amazon all hit new highs. In addition, according to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged by December is 4.6%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 95.4%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 3.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 16.3%.
The key focus next is the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement on Thursday the 19th, as well as the speech by Fed Chairman Powell! This is the third rate cut of the year, occurring at 3 AM on the 19th. One can only say that the effects of the rate cut are mixed: Positive factors include increased liquidity and a depreciation of the dollar, which is favorable for the cryptocurrency market. There is also a demand for safe-haven assets: as economic uncertainty grows, the crypto market becomes a safe haven. Negative factors include increased market volatility and risk, potential strengthening of regulatory policies due to uncertainty, and inflation leading to increased shocks in the crypto market.
After reaching a new high yesterday morning, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase during the day. Following a wave of inducement to short, the downward support has gradually risen. As the US stock market opened in the evening, bullish energy was released as expected, setting a new historical high, with Bitcoin again breaking through its historical peak with remarkable momentum. The daily candlestick reached a high of 107774, and the overall trend is becoming increasingly clear. The four-hour single bullish candle surge highlights the unstoppable strength of the bulls. Once the upward barrier is broken, the volume will naturally follow. The fervor of the bulls not only meets expectations but is also an inevitable result driven by the structural trend. As mentioned earlier, in the current market situation, any pullback is a good buying opportunity. If there is no pullback, continue to follow the bulls in the short term, looking forward to higher points. The day directly surged, and the future market trend remains clear, with the main theme still being bullish and following the trend.
Ethereum's late-night trading once again showcased a reversal in the support zone below 3880, breaking through the significant 4100 mark. The market's movement is progressing steadily in the direction we anticipated. Next, we will focus on higher targets, specifically 4350-4500! Currently, the coin price is entering a slight correction and consolidation phase. Although there may be short-term corrective pullbacks, this is not a reversal signal but rather a necessary stage for bullish momentum accumulation. The Bollinger Bands show a significant upward opening, with the lower support consistently rising, and the upward space has been fully opened. Currently, the upward pressure is minimal, and there are no signs of a peak formation in the short term, with substantial upward potential remaining. Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a low bullish strategy in subsequent operations.