In recent days, Europe has actually been quite unstable. The economic powerhouse of Europe, Germany, voted in parliament to dissolve the government, and is currently under transitional government management. Germany has been on the brink of economic contraction for seven consecutive years, leading to widespread public discontent. However, despite the poor economic situation, the government fully bears the costs of healthcare, education, and pensions.
The United States views the current situation in Europe with mixed feelings; Europe’s division or decline may actually benefit U.S. management and control in the region. However, global integration could negatively affect the development of the U.S. economy.
In Asia, following the strict measures in South Korea, parliament voted to impeach the president, with presidential elections now arriving two months early. The political struggle is exceptionally intense, and there are concerns about potential national unrest. Such events could undermine U.S. control and interests in East Asia, but it is something that certain East Asian countries would prefer to see.
Trump is about to take office, and it seems there will be a lot to deal with. However, it is certain that most policies will favor U.S. development, continuing to retain or attract a large amount of resources back to the U.S.
Driven by strong performance in tech stocks, the U.S. stock market continues to reach new highs, and a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is certain. Thus, the bull market will continue, and the cryptocurrency bull market will also persist.
Although BTC is currently continuing to rise, causing a 'vampire effect,' the ongoing influx of funds into spot ETFs has led to an increase in BTC and ETH, while altcoins have either stagnated or experienced a pullback.
Currently, on the daily chart, BTC's MACD is bullish, with Bitcoin in a bullish flag pattern, showing strong upward momentum. Support is around 102,500, with a bullish trendline support near 98,600. It is only advisable to buy on dips. Be cautious with short positions.
On the four-hour chart, there is resistance around 110,304 and short-term support near 104,088. It remains in a bullish formation. In the next couple of days, altcoins should experience slight rebounds, but entering at high prices is not recommended. It is still possible to position at lower levels.
The frenzy has reached its peak again; at such times, there is always a risk of a sharp pullback. Although everything seems fine, it appears to be a one-man show of BTC’s craziness. Patience is required, and caution is critical at key moments. It is still recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short term; do not set a larger position yet. Another one-sided bull market has not arrived, except for BTC.