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1. Trend analysis:

- H4: Strong downtrend from 1.82 to 1.64, currently showing signs of forming a short-term bottom

- H1: Price is in a sideways accumulation phase in the range of 1.64-1.65

- 30m: Trading within a narrow range of 1.64-1.65, low trading volume

2. Technical indicators:

- H4 RSI is in the oversold zone (30-35)

- H4 MACD gives a positive divergence signal with the price

- OBV shows that selling pressure is gradually decreasing

- Bollinger Bands are narrowing on the H1 frame, indicating a high potential for breakout

3. Volume and cash flow:

- Trading volume is at a low level

- CMF and MFI indicate that cash flow is balanced

- The buy/sell ratio is quite balanced in the last 4 hours

Trading scenario for the next 4-24 hours:

Scenario 1 (probability 60%):

- Price continues to accumulate in the range of 1.64-1.65 for another 4-8 hours before breakout

- Upside target: 1.72 (+5%)

- Confirmation signal: Break 1.65 with strong volume increase

Scenario 2 (probability 40%):

- Breakdown below 1.64 and continue the downtrend

- Downside target: 1.56 (-5%)

- Confirmation signal: Break 1.64 with strong volume increase

Entry recommendation:

- Should not enter right now due to low volatility and no clear breakout signals

- Entry points:

+ Long when breaking 1.65 with strong volume increase

+ Short when breaking 1.64 with strong volume increase

- Stop loss: 2% from the entry point

Assessment of the potential volatility +-5%:

- High likelihood in the next 12-24 hours of a strong volatility move +-5% due to:

1. Bollinger Bands are narrowing

2. Volume is at an unusually low level

3. RSI is in the extreme zone

4. In a narrow sideways accumulation zone

Recommendation: Wait for a clear breakout signal before entering, set conditional orders at the levels of 1.64 and 1.65.