The recent affirmation has made everyone confused. Will there be a break out of the plunge in the future? My personal opinion is not. Even if it is an adjustment, it will be a small adjustment. Just like the picture I drew before, it will follow a oscillating upward pattern. As for why, first of all, you can look at Figure 1. This is the holding volume of Bitcoin. Recently It has always been running at a low level, so there has been no death spiral plummet for a long time. This is the reason. Today, it is predicted that Ethereum may become stronger because the positions of Bitcoin and Ethereum are different. Everyone knows that Ethereum has been rubbish for a year and has become an outcast in the second half of the year. For the Air Force, the first choice for shorting is definitely Ethereum. On the one hand, it is because Ethereum is doing very poorly overall this year. On the other hand, because Ethereum is doing poorly, even if it pulls the market, it will not be very deep in an instant. Therefore, we can see from Figure 2 that the position of Ethereum is gradually rising, but the long-short ratio is very low, so This is most likely a trap set up for short sellers. Coupled with my recent market analysis, I personally feel that there will be no overall market crash in the future. It must be a short-selling behavior that should be done without falling, and then pull the market to harvest the air force.