"I believe the answer lies in accepting what Heisenberg's research in physics has discovered: it is impossible to predict the future with any precision, given the current environment. The signals are too confusing, and there is too much uncertainty. In my opinion, we should not hope to understand the current situation accurately. Perhaps a more reasonable approach would be to accept uncertainty. By doing so, we can use it to our advantage." Jon Sundt, president of Altegris Investment, in the second half of 2004. References: Superforecasting, by Philip E. Tetlock. Trend Following, by Michael Covel