#BTC重回关键位置后走势

Master discusses hot topics:

Today is Friday, and if there are no special market fluctuations over the weekend, Master’s updates are likely to pause. However, let's anticipate the market trends for next week in advance, because no one knows when the market will quietly surprise you or present challenges.

The first thing to pay attention to is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision early Thursday morning next week, and a 25 basis point rate cut is almost a certainty. Generally speaking, there will be some market fluctuations in the six hours leading up to the meeting. If the rate cut aligns with expectations, a market rebound is also to be expected.

Therefore, this news is unlikely to have a significant negative impact on the market. The operating strategy remains to buy on dips and take profits appropriately during rebounds, making a small profit is definitely viable.

Next, we need to pay attention to Japan’s monetary policy meeting on December 19. If Japan does not raise interest rates and there are not strong expectations for a rate hike in January, the market may take this opportunity to rally again.

Recent news suggests that Japan's interest rate hike may be delayed until March next year, which also means that, from a broader cycle perspective, a significant correction may occur between March and May next year.

This significant correction generally refers to a retracement of about 32-38% of the upward space from November 5 to March. If we look at it from the weekly chart level, the market fluctuations during that period could be even more intense.

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