Analysis of the market trend in the coming period

I believe that by the end of December, the remaining time will fluctuate widely in the range of 90,000 to 105,000. Before the old president takes office in January 2025, it will break through the previous high and reach around 110,000. After he takes office on January 20, there will be a significant pullback, likely falling below 90,000, which will be the last opportunity to buy Bitcoin. After the pullback, it will quickly rise, starting a new bullish trend, approximately reaching around 150,000 by March 2025, then beginning a downward adjustment to the 100,000 range in April, consolidating until July when the final round of increases will begin, peaking around 200,000 in October, marking the end of the entire bull market cycle. I believe, due to U.S. policy reasons, the probability of the next bull market falling below 70,000 is very low.

The trend of Ethereum in this cycle is too weak; I hold a large amount of Ethereum and didn't expect it to underperform Bitcoin. The upcoming trend for Ethereum will be slightly stronger than Bitcoin, with the peak occurring a few days later than Bitcoin. It is estimated to reach 10,000 in March 2025 and peak at 12,000 in October 2025, with the overall trend linked to Bitcoin.

Strong altcoins with expectations of dozens to hundreds of times will not fall below the pullback position of 12.10 again and will keep breaking upward. Weak altcoins will still hit new lows below 12.10 on December 2024 during Bitcoin's pullback in late January. You can pay attention to the following sectors.

ETH ecosystem: DeFi/Staking/Infrastructures and other tracks

AI/GameFi/RWA/Meme/Public Chains

If Bitcoin shows a mid-term top signal in March or April 2025, apart from Bitcoin, I will liquidate all altcoins including Ethereum. After the pullback in April or May, I will convert everything to Bitcoin, or invest a small portion in strong coins that are linked to Bitcoin and Ethereum. I suggest that friends sell and cash out half, leaving the other half to layout the trend for the second half.