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CryptoChan
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The four-month anniversary of the "85" incident should be the most panicking moment in 2024🐶
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比特币『九指封顶诀』更新，当前—— 🔴 Curve-Fitted MVRV Price: $128,715 🟠 Deviation-Corrected MVRV Price: $130,937 🟡 Fibonacci-Balanced Price: $139,431 🟢 Deviation-Corrected STH-MVRV Price: $142,622 🔵 Tradable Realized Price: $152,270 🟣 Fibonacci-Terminal Price: $170,671 🟤 Pow Top Price: $172,904 ⚫️ Curve-Fitted Median MVRV Price: $174,516 ⚪️ Thermocap Price: $187,534 值得一提的是—— 2011年中牛顶，币价突破6条线 2013年第一顶，币价突破6条线 2013年第二顶，币价突破8条线 2017年底牛顶，币价突破9条线 2021上半年顶，币价突破6条线 当前，币价突破0条线
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或许是目前尤为乐观的比特币牛顶预测之一（$21w+） 中位数往往比平均数更能代表一般情况，体现在盈利率方面，当前的中位数盈利率应低于平均盈利率；牛顶时的中位数盈利率应高于平均盈利率 链上数据中的 MVRV 可反映平均盈利率；Median MVRV 可反映中位数盈利率 对 Median MVRV 进行牛顶熊底函数拟合，基于拟合函数采用新开发的振荡指标从 0 - 100 将 Median MVRV 完整囊括划分为6个区间 当前该振荡指标分数为46.8，尚处于怀疑区间。仅依据当前分数推算出的牛顶币价为：9.9w / 46.8% = $21w+ 注：一些情况下，当币价震荡上涨，而链上BTC同时充分换手，MVRV 是可以震荡横盘不上涨的 说人话：随着时间推移，比特币牛顶预测值只会越来越高，$21w 仅是起点
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斐波那契数列应用在 BTC: Thermocap 指标上也不在话下 图中为新开发的 BTC: Fibonacci-Thermocap 彩虹图，采用 [1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55] 的斐波那契数列作为乘数乘以 Thermocap Price 得到 注：Thermocap Price 可通过 Thermocap 除以BTC总流通量得到
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九大比特币牛市逃顶指标
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不慌，继续刻舟20年末🧘
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